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Dragon Ladder League
May 2024
Game Results For
Keith Davies
GAME #1
Alison Shenton Andrew Long
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Kate Greenstreet Keith Davies
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.543 3.566
win probability
45%
55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.055 +0.008 +0.063
Losers -0.055 +0.003 -0.052
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Shenton 3.552 +0.063 3.615
Andrew Long 3.534 +0.063 3.597
Kate Greenstreet 3.574 -0.052 3.522
Keith Davies 3.557 -0.052 3.505
GAME #2
Kate Greenstreet Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Keith Davies Paul Wales
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.506 3.548
win probability
41%
59% of 0.100 = 0.059 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.059 +0.003 +0.062
Losers -0.059 +0.008 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.522 +0.062 3.585
Dan O’Brien 3.489 +0.062 3.551
Keith Davies 3.505 -0.051 3.454
Paul Wales 3.590 -0.051 3.539
GAME #3
Keith Davies Andrew Long
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Kate Greenstreet Alison Shenton
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.553 3.577
win probability
45%
55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.055 +0.008 +0.063
Losers -0.055 +0.003 -0.052
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Keith Davies 3.454 +0.063 3.517
Andrew Long 3.653 +0.063 3.716
Kate Greenstreet 3.585 -0.052 3.532
Alison Shenton 3.570 -0.052 3.518
GAME #4
Keith Davies Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Kate Greenstreet Paul Wales
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.549 3.526
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.006 +0.051
Losers -0.045 +0.005 -0.040
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Keith Davies 3.517 +0.051 3.568
Dan O’Brien 3.581 +0.051 3.632
Kate Greenstreet 3.532 -0.040 3.492
Paul Wales 3.520 -0.040 3.480
GAME #5
Kate Greenstreet Andrew Long
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Keith Davies Alison Shenton
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.619 3.533
win probability
68%
32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.032 +0.006 +0.038
Losers -0.032 +0.005 -0.027
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.492 +0.038 3.530
Andrew Long 3.746 +0.038 3.784
Keith Davies 3.568 -0.027 3.541
Alison Shenton 3.499 -0.027 3.472
GAME #6
Paul Wales Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
2
Kate Greenstreet Keith Davies
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.625 3.536
win probability
69%
31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.031 +0.009 +0.040
Losers -0.031 +0.002 -0.029
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Paul Wales 3.549 +0.040 3.589
Dan O’Brien 3.701 +0.040 3.741
Kate Greenstreet 3.530 -0.029 3.501
Keith Davies 3.541 -0.029 3.512
GAME #7
Kate Greenstreet Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Keith Davies Alison Shenton
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.621 3.463
win probability
80%
20% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.002 +0.027
Losers -0.025 +0.009 -0.016
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.501 +0.027 3.528
Dan O’Brien 3.741 +0.027 3.768
Keith Davies 3.512 -0.016 3.496
Alison Shenton 3.415 -0.016 3.399
GAME #8
Kate Greenstreet Andrew Long
11
--------------- vs ---------------
7
Keith Davies Paul Wales
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.598 3.513
win probability
68%
32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.032 +0.004 +0.036
Losers -0.032 +0.007 -0.025
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.528 +0.036 3.564
Andrew Long 3.668 +0.036 3.704
Keith Davies 3.496 -0.025 3.471
Paul Wales 3.531 -0.025 3.506
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