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Dragon Ladder League
May 2024
Game Results For
Dan O’Brien
GAME #1
Andrew Long Paul Wales
11
--------------- vs ---------------
7
Alison Shenton Dan O’Brien
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.566 3.575
win probability
48%
52% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.004 +0.056
Losers -0.052 +0.007 -0.045
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Andrew Long 3.597 +0.056 3.653
Paul Wales 3.534 +0.056 3.590
Alison Shenton 3.615 -0.045 3.570
Dan O’Brien 3.534 -0.045 3.489
GAME #2
Kate Greenstreet Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Keith Davies Paul Wales
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.506 3.548
win probability
41%
59% of 0.100 = 0.059 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.059 +0.003 +0.062
Losers -0.059 +0.008 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.522 +0.062 3.585
Dan O’Brien 3.489 +0.062 3.551
Keith Davies 3.505 -0.051 3.454
Paul Wales 3.590 -0.051 3.539
GAME #3
Andrew Long Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Alison Shenton Paul Wales
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.634 3.528
win probability
72%
28% of 0.100 = 0.028 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.028 +0.002 +0.030
Losers -0.028 +0.009 -0.019
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Andrew Long 3.716 +0.030 3.746
Dan O’Brien 3.551 +0.030 3.581
Alison Shenton 3.518 -0.019 3.499
Paul Wales 3.539 -0.019 3.520
GAME #4
Keith Davies Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Kate Greenstreet Paul Wales
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.549 3.526
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.006 +0.051
Losers -0.045 +0.005 -0.040
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Keith Davies 3.517 +0.051 3.568
Dan O’Brien 3.581 +0.051 3.632
Kate Greenstreet 3.532 -0.040 3.492
Paul Wales 3.520 -0.040 3.480
GAME #5
Paul Wales Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Alison Shenton Andrew Long
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.556 3.628
win probability
34%
66% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.066 +0.003 +0.069
Losers -0.066 +0.008 -0.058
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Paul Wales 3.480 +0.069 3.549
Dan O’Brien 3.632 +0.069 3.701
Alison Shenton 3.472 -0.058 3.415
Andrew Long 3.784 -0.058 3.726
GAME #6
Paul Wales Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
2
Kate Greenstreet Keith Davies
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.625 3.536
win probability
69%
31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.031 +0.009 +0.040
Losers -0.031 +0.002 -0.029
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Paul Wales 3.549 +0.040 3.589
Dan O’Brien 3.701 +0.040 3.741
Kate Greenstreet 3.530 -0.029 3.501
Keith Davies 3.541 -0.029 3.512
GAME #7
Kate Greenstreet Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Keith Davies Alison Shenton
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.621 3.463
win probability
80%
20% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.002 +0.027
Losers -0.025 +0.009 -0.016
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Kate Greenstreet 3.501 +0.027 3.528
Dan O’Brien 3.741 +0.027 3.768
Keith Davies 3.512 -0.016 3.496
Alison Shenton 3.415 -0.016 3.399
GAME #8
Alison Shenton Dan O’Brien
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Andrew Long Paul Wales
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.583 3.657
win probability
34%
66% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.066 +0.003 +0.069
Losers -0.066 +0.008 -0.058
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Shenton 3.399 +0.069 3.468
Dan O’Brien 3.768 +0.069 3.837
Andrew Long 3.726 -0.058 3.668
Paul Wales 3.589 -0.058 3.531
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