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September 2024
Game Results For
Richard Welsford
GAME #1
Richard Welsford Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Rob Shenton Pete Williams
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.866 3.901
win probability
42%
58% of 0.100 = 0.058 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.058 +0.003 +0.061
Losers -0.058 +0.008 -0.050
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Richard Welsford 3.882 +0.061 3.943
Chris Thomas 3.850 +0.061 3.911
Rob Shenton 3.906 -0.050 3.856
Pete Williams 3.896 -0.050 3.846
GAME #2
Richard Welsford Andrew Long
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Chris Thomas John Killick
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.878 3.880
win probability
49%
51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.051 +0.002 +0.053
Losers -0.051 +0.009 -0.042
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Richard Welsford 3.943 +0.053 3.995
Andrew Long 3.813 +0.053 3.866
Chris Thomas 3.911 -0.042 3.869
John Killick 3.850 -0.042 3.808
GAME #3
Rob Shenton Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Pete Williams Chris Thomas
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.953 3.836
win probability
74%
26% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.026 +0.002 +0.028
Losers -0.026 +0.009 -0.017
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Rob Shenton 3.910 +0.028 3.938
Richard Welsford 3.995 +0.028 4.023
Pete Williams 3.804 -0.017 3.787
Chris Thomas 3.869 -0.017 3.852
GAME #4
Richard Welsford John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Chris Thomas Andrew Long
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.895 3.886
win probability
52%
48% of 0.100 = 0.048 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.048 +0.005 +0.053
Losers -0.048 +0.006 -0.042
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Richard Welsford 4.023 +0.053 4.076
John Killick 3.766 +0.053 3.819
Chris Thomas 3.852 -0.042 3.810
Andrew Long 3.919 -0.042 3.877
GAME #5
Pete Williams Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Rob Shenton Chris Thomas
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.966 3.845
win probability
75%
25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.005 +0.030
Losers -0.025 +0.006 -0.019
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Pete Williams 3.855 +0.030 3.885
Richard Welsford 4.076 +0.030 4.107
Rob Shenton 3.880 -0.019 3.861
Chris Thomas 3.810 -0.019 3.791
GAME #6
Richard Welsford Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
John Killick Andrew Long
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.949 3.854
win probability
70%
30% of 0.100 = 0.030 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.030 +0.001 +0.031
Losers -0.030 +0.01 -0.020
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Richard Welsford 4.107 +0.031 4.138
Chris Thomas 3.791 +0.031 3.822
John Killick 3.762 -0.020 3.742
Andrew Long 3.945 -0.020 3.926
GAME #7
Chris Thomas John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Richard Welsford Andrew Long
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.766 4.016
win probability
10%
90% of 0.100 = 0.090 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.090 +0.003 +0.093
Losers -0.090 +0.008 -0.082
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.822 +0.093 3.915
John Killick 3.711 +0.093 3.804
Richard Welsford 4.138 -0.082 4.055
Andrew Long 3.894 -0.082 3.812
GAME #8
Pete Williams Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Rob Shenton Andrew Long
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
4.023 3.831
win probability
85%
as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.006 +0.031
Losers -0.025 +0.005 -0.020
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Pete Williams 3.991 +0.031 4.022
Richard Welsford 4.055 +0.031 4.086
Rob Shenton 3.851 -0.020 3.831
Andrew Long 3.812 -0.020 3.792
Go To September 2024 Table