Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

Paul Jones

GAME #1
Pippa Adams		Angela Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
David Hornbuckle		Paul Jones

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.939		3.119
win probability 17% 83% of 0.100 = 0.083 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.083	+0.001	+0.084
Losers	-0.083	+0.01	-0.073

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Pippa Adams	2.952	+0.084	3.036
Angela Rogers	2.926	+0.084	3.010
David Hornbuckle	3.088	-0.073	3.014
Paul Jones	3.150	-0.073	3.076

GAME #2
Paul Jones		Liz Coombes
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Helen Carey		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.128		2.920
win probability 87% as this is over 75% 0.015 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.005	+0.020
Losers	-0.015	+0.006	-0.009

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.076	+0.020	3.096
Liz Coombes	3.180	+0.020	3.200
Helen Carey	3.076	-0.009	3.067
Kim Fortey	2.764	-0.009	2.755

GAME #3
Alan Hart		Paul Jones
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Pippa Adams		Helen Carey

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.005		3.032
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.913	+0.063	2.976
Paul Jones	3.096	+0.063	3.159
Pippa Adams	2.997	-0.052	2.945
Helen Carey	3.067	-0.052	3.015

GAME #4
Alan Hart		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Kim Fortey		Paul Jones

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.014		2.943
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.004	+0.039
Losers	-0.035	+0.007	-0.028

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.976	+0.039	3.015
David Hornbuckle	3.052	+0.039	3.091
Kim Fortey	2.728	-0.028	2.700
Paul Jones	3.159	-0.028	3.131

GAME #5
Angela Rogers		Paul Jones
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Alan Hart		Liz Coombes

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.132		3.111
win probability 55% 45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.045	+0.004	+0.049
Losers	-0.045	+0.007	-0.038

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Angela Rogers	3.133	+0.049	3.182
Paul Jones	3.131	+0.049	3.181
Alan Hart	3.015	-0.038	2.977
Liz Coombes	3.208	-0.038	3.169

GAME #6
Paul Jones		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Angela Rogers		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.122		2.930
win probability 85% as this is over 75% 0.015 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.003	+0.018
Losers	-0.015	+0.008	-0.007

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.181	+0.018	3.199
Helen Morgan	3.062	+0.018	3.081
Angela Rogers	3.182	-0.007	3.175
Kim Fortey	2.678	-0.007	2.671

GAME #7
David Hornbuckle		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Paul Jones		Helen Carey

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.110		3.065
win probability 60% 40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.040	+0.006	+0.046
Losers	-0.040	+0.005	-0.035

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.139	+0.046	3.185
Helen Morgan	3.081	+0.046	3.127
Paul Jones	3.199	-0.035	3.164
Helen Carey	2.932	-0.035	2.896

GAME #8
Paul Jones		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Liz Coombes		Helen Morgan

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.116		3.128
win probability 47% 53% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.053	+0.004	+0.057
Losers	-0.053	+0.007	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.164	+0.057	3.221
Pippa Adams	3.069	+0.057	3.125
Liz Coombes	3.130	-0.046	3.084
Helen Morgan	3.127	-0.046	3.081

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