Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

Keith Davies

GAME #1
Mark Rees		Heath Fletcher
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Keith Davies		Holly Layson

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.481		3.484
win probability 49% 51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.051	+0.003	+0.054
Losers	-0.051	+0.008	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Mark Rees	3.507	+0.054	3.561
Heath Fletcher	3.456	+0.054	3.509
Keith Davies	3.534	-0.043	3.492
Holly Layson	3.434	-0.043	3.391

GAME #2
Alice Lamb		Keith Davies
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
James Barnes		Rachel Moore

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.522		3.723
win probability 14% 86% of 0.100 = 0.086 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.086	+0.004	+0.090
Losers	-0.086	+0.007	-0.079

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alice Lamb	3.553	+0.090	3.643
Keith Davies	3.492	+0.090	3.582
James Barnes	3.837	-0.079	3.758
Rachel Moore	3.609	-0.079	3.530

GAME #3
Alice Lamb		Neil Cobley
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Keith Davies		Heath Fletcher

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.650		3.566
win probability 68% 32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.032	+0.004	+0.036
Losers	-0.032	+0.007	-0.025

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alice Lamb	3.643	+0.036	3.678
Neil Cobley	3.658	+0.036	3.694
Keith Davies	3.582	-0.025	3.557
Heath Fletcher	3.550	-0.025	3.525

GAME #4
James Barnes		Mark Rees
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Neil Cobley		Keith Davies

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.650		3.625
win probability 56% 44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.044	+0.009	+0.053
Losers	-0.044	+0.002	-0.042

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
James Barnes	3.708	+0.053	3.761
Mark Rees	3.593	+0.053	3.646
Neil Cobley	3.694	-0.042	3.652
Keith Davies	3.557	-0.042	3.514

GAME #5
Heath Fletcher		Holly Layson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
James Barnes		Keith Davies

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.424		3.638
win probability 13% 87% of 0.100 = 0.087 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.087	+0.001	+0.088
Losers	-0.087	+0.010	-0.077

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Heath Fletcher	3.554	+0.088	3.643
Holly Layson	3.293	+0.088	3.381
James Barnes	3.761	-0.077	3.684
Keith Davies	3.514	-0.077	3.437

GAME #6
Keith Davies		Mark Rees
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	1
Rachel Moore		Heath Fletcher

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.568		3.587
win probability 46% 54% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.054	+0.01	+0.064
Losers	-0.054	+0.001	-0.053

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Keith Davies	3.437	+0.064	3.501
Mark Rees	3.698	+0.064	3.763
Rachel Moore	3.532	-0.053	3.478
Heath Fletcher	3.643	-0.053	3.589

GAME #7
Neil Cobley		Holly Layson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Rachel Moore		Keith Davies

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.548		3.490
win probability 63% 37% of 0.100 = 0.037 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.037	+0.001	+0.038
Losers	-0.037	+0.010	-0.027

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Neil Cobley	3.725	+0.038	3.763
Holly Layson	3.371	+0.038	3.410
Rachel Moore	3.478	-0.027	3.451
Keith Davies	3.501	-0.027	3.474

GAME #8
Keith Davies		Holly Layson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Alice Lamb		Mark Rees

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.442		3.715
win probability 8% 92% of 0.100 = 0.092 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.092	+0.002	+0.094
Losers	-0.092	+0.009	-0.083

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Keith Davies	3.474	+0.094	3.568
Holly Layson	3.410	+0.094	3.504
Alice Lamb	3.708	-0.083	3.625
Mark Rees	3.723	-0.083	3.640

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