Dragon Ladder League

November 2024

Game Results For

John Killick

GAME #1
Kris Rogers		Dale Preston
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
John Killick		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.933		3.811
win probability 75% 25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.002	+0.027
Losers	-0.025	+0.009	-0.016

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kris Rogers	3.969	+0.027	3.996
Dale Preston	3.896	+0.027	3.923
John Killick	3.868	-0.016	3.852
Matthew Hellard	3.754	-0.016	3.738

GAME #2
Ian Rochard		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
John Killick		Steve Lilygreen

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.759		3.765
win probability 49% 51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.051	+0.001	+0.052
Losers	-0.051	+0.010	-0.041

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	3.781	+0.052	3.833
Matthew Hellard	3.738	+0.052	3.790
John Killick	3.852	-0.041	3.810
Steve Lilygreen	3.678	-0.041	3.637

GAME #3
Nick Fox		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
John Killick		Alison Shenton

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.836		3.733
win probability 72% 28% of 0.100 = 0.028 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.028	+0.004	+0.032
Losers	-0.028	+0.007	-0.021

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nick Fox	3.883	+0.032	3.915
Matthew Hellard	3.790	+0.032	3.822
John Killick	3.810	-0.021	3.789
Alison Shenton	3.655	-0.021	3.634

GAME #4
Ian Rochard		John Killick
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Alison Shenton		Kris Rogers

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.789		3.837
win probability 39% 61% of 0.100 = 0.061 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.061	+0.007	+0.068
Losers	-0.061	+0.004	-0.057

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	3.788	+0.068	3.856
John Killick	3.789	+0.068	3.857
Alison Shenton	3.598	-0.057	3.542
Kris Rogers	4.076	-0.057	4.019

GAME #5
John Killick		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Steve Lilygreen		Dale Preston

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.874		3.796
win probability 67% 33% of 0.100 = 0.033 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.033	+0.002	+0.035
Losers	-0.033	+0.009	-0.024

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
John Killick	3.857	+0.035	3.892
Nick Fox	3.892	+0.035	3.927
Steve Lilygreen	3.723	-0.024	3.699
Dale Preston	3.869	-0.024	3.845

GAME #6
Alison Shenton		Steve Lilygreen
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Paul Wales		John Killick

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.653		4.057
win probability 3% 97% of 0.100 = 0.097 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.097	+0.001	+0.098
Losers	-0.097	+0.010	-0.087

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alison Shenton	3.608	+0.098	3.706
Steve Lilygreen	3.699	+0.098	3.797
Paul Wales	4.223	-0.087	4.135
John Killick	3.892	-0.087	3.804

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Dale Preston		John Killick

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.971		3.855
win probability 74% 26% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.026	+0.001	+0.027
Losers	-0.026	+0.010	-0.016

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.135	+0.027	4.162
Ian Rochard	3.806	+0.027	3.834
Dale Preston	3.905	-0.016	3.889
John Killick	3.804	-0.016	3.788

GAME #8
Paul Wales		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Kris Rogers		John Killick

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.092		3.869
win probability 88% as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.005	+0.030
Losers	-0.025	+0.006	-0.019

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.162	+0.030	4.192
Nick Fox	4.022	+0.030	4.052
Kris Rogers	3.949	-0.019	3.930
John Killick	3.788	-0.019	3.769

Go To November 2024 Table