Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

Helen Morgan

GAME #1
Liz Coombes		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Helen Morgan		Alan Hart

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.102		2.993
win probability 73% 27% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.027	+0.005	+0.032
Losers	-0.027	+0.006	-0.021

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Liz Coombes	3.148	+0.032	3.180
David Hornbuckle	3.055	+0.032	3.088
Helen Morgan	3.050	-0.021	3.028
Alan Hart	2.937	-0.021	2.915

GAME #2
Helen Carey		Alan Hart
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Helen Morgan		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.977		2.909
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.002	+0.037
Losers	-0.035	+0.009	-0.026

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Carey	3.038	+0.037	3.076
Alan Hart	2.915	+0.037	2.953
Helen Morgan	3.028	-0.026	3.002
Kim Fortey	2.790	-0.026	2.764

GAME #3
Helen Morgan		Angela Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Pippa Adams		Alan Hart

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.006		2.994
win probability 53% 47% of 0.100 = 0.047 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.047	+0.003	+0.050
Losers	-0.047	+0.008	-0.039

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Morgan	3.002	+0.050	3.052
Angela Rogers	3.010	+0.050	3.061
Pippa Adams	3.036	-0.039	2.997
Alan Hart	2.953	-0.039	2.913

GAME #4
Angela Rogers		Liz Coombes
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Helen Carey		Helen Morgan

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.136		3.033
win probability 72% 28% of 0.100 = 0.028 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.028	+0.006	+0.034
Losers	-0.028	+0.005	-0.023

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Angela Rogers	3.099	+0.034	3.133
Liz Coombes	3.173	+0.034	3.208
Helen Carey	3.015	-0.023	2.991
Helen Morgan	3.052	-0.023	3.029

GAME #5
Helen Morgan		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Kim Fortey		David Hornbuckle

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.987		2.896
win probability 69% 31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.031	+0.003	+0.034
Losers	-0.031	+0.008	-0.023

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Morgan	3.029	+0.034	3.062
Pippa Adams	2.945	+0.034	2.978
Kim Fortey	2.700	-0.023	2.678
David Hornbuckle	3.091	-0.023	3.068

GAME #6
Paul Jones		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Angela Rogers		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.122		2.930
win probability 85% as this is over 75% 0.015 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.003	+0.018
Losers	-0.015	+0.008	-0.007

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.181	+0.018	3.199
Helen Morgan	3.062	+0.018	3.081
Angela Rogers	3.182	-0.007	3.175
Kim Fortey	2.678	-0.007	2.671

GAME #7
David Hornbuckle		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Paul Jones		Helen Carey

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.110		3.065
win probability 60% 40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.040	+0.006	+0.046
Losers	-0.040	+0.005	-0.035

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.139	+0.046	3.185
Helen Morgan	3.081	+0.046	3.127
Paul Jones	3.199	-0.035	3.164
Helen Carey	2.932	-0.035	2.896

GAME #8
Paul Jones		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Liz Coombes		Helen Morgan

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.116		3.128
win probability 47% 53% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.053	+0.004	+0.057
Losers	-0.053	+0.007	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.164	+0.057	3.221
Pippa Adams	3.069	+0.057	3.125
Liz Coombes	3.130	-0.046	3.084
Helen Morgan	3.127	-0.046	3.081

Go To March 2025 Table