Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

Helen Carey

GAME #1
Helen Carey		Angela Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Pippa Adams		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.929		2.913
win probability 53% 47% of 0.100 = 0.047 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.047	+0.007	+0.054
Losers	-0.047	+0.004	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Carey	2.985	+0.054	3.038
Angela Rogers	2.872	+0.054	2.926
Pippa Adams	2.994	-0.043	2.952
Kim Fortey	2.832	-0.043	2.790

GAME #2
Helen Carey		Alan Hart
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Helen Morgan		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.977		2.909
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.002	+0.037
Losers	-0.035	+0.009	-0.026

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Carey	3.038	+0.037	3.076
Alan Hart	2.915	+0.037	2.953
Helen Morgan	3.028	-0.026	3.002
Kim Fortey	2.790	-0.026	2.764

GAME #3
Paul Jones		Liz Coombes
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Helen Carey		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.128		2.920
win probability 87% as this is over 75% 0.015 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.005	+0.020
Losers	-0.015	+0.006	-0.009

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Jones	3.076	+0.020	3.096
Liz Coombes	3.180	+0.020	3.200
Helen Carey	3.076	-0.009	3.067
Kim Fortey	2.764	-0.009	2.755

GAME #4
Alan Hart		Paul Jones
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Pippa Adams		Helen Carey

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.005		3.032
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.913	+0.063	2.976
Paul Jones	3.096	+0.063	3.159
Pippa Adams	2.997	-0.052	2.945
Helen Carey	3.067	-0.052	3.015

GAME #5
Angela Rogers		Liz Coombes
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Helen Carey		Helen Morgan

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.136		3.033
win probability 72% 28% of 0.100 = 0.028 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.028	+0.006	+0.034
Losers	-0.028	+0.005	-0.023

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Angela Rogers	3.099	+0.034	3.133
Liz Coombes	3.173	+0.034	3.208
Helen Carey	3.015	-0.023	2.991
Helen Morgan	3.052	-0.023	3.029

GAME #6
David Hornbuckle		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Liz Coombes		Helen Carey

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.023		3.080
win probability 37% 63% of 0.100 = 0.063 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.063	+0.008	+0.071
Losers	-0.063	+0.003	-0.060

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.068	+0.071	3.139
Pippa Adams	2.978	+0.071	3.049
Liz Coombes	3.169	-0.060	3.110
Helen Carey	2.991	-0.060	2.932

GAME #7
David Hornbuckle		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Paul Jones		Helen Carey

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.110		3.065
win probability 60% 40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.040	+0.006	+0.046
Losers	-0.040	+0.005	-0.035

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.139	+0.046	3.185
Helen Morgan	3.081	+0.046	3.127
Paul Jones	3.199	-0.035	3.164
Helen Carey	2.932	-0.035	2.896

GAME #8
David Hornbuckle		Helen Carey
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Alan Hart		Angela Rogers

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.041		3.071
win probability 43% 57% of 0.100 = 0.057 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.057	+0.005	+0.062
Losers	-0.057	+0.006	-0.051

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.185	+0.062	3.247
Helen Carey	2.896	+0.062	2.958
Alan Hart	2.968	-0.051	2.917
Angela Rogers	3.175	-0.051	3.124

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