Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

David Hornbuckle

GAME #1
Liz Coombes		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Helen Morgan		Alan Hart

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.102		2.993
win probability 73% 27% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.027	+0.005	+0.032
Losers	-0.027	+0.006	-0.021

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Liz Coombes	3.148	+0.032	3.180
David Hornbuckle	3.055	+0.032	3.088
Helen Morgan	3.050	-0.021	3.028
Alan Hart	2.937	-0.021	2.915

GAME #2
Pippa Adams		Angela Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
David Hornbuckle		Paul Jones

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.939		3.119
win probability 17% 83% of 0.100 = 0.083 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.083	+0.001	+0.084
Losers	-0.083	+0.01	-0.073

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Pippa Adams	2.952	+0.084	3.036
Angela Rogers	2.926	+0.084	3.010
David Hornbuckle	3.088	-0.073	3.014
Paul Jones	3.150	-0.073	3.076

GAME #3
Angela Rogers		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Kim Fortey		Liz Coombes

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.038		2.977
win probability 63% 37% of 0.100 = 0.037 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.037	+0.001	+0.038
Losers	-0.037	+0.01	-0.027

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Angela Rogers	3.061	+0.038	3.099
David Hornbuckle	3.014	+0.038	3.052
Kim Fortey	2.755	-0.027	2.728
Liz Coombes	3.200	-0.027	3.173

GAME #4
Alan Hart		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Kim Fortey		Paul Jones

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.014		2.943
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.004	+0.039
Losers	-0.035	+0.007	-0.028

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.976	+0.039	3.015
David Hornbuckle	3.052	+0.039	3.091
Kim Fortey	2.728	-0.028	2.700
Paul Jones	3.159	-0.028	3.131

GAME #5
Helen Morgan		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Kim Fortey		David Hornbuckle

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.987		2.896
win probability 69% 31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.031	+0.003	+0.034
Losers	-0.031	+0.008	-0.023

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Morgan	3.029	+0.034	3.062
Pippa Adams	2.945	+0.034	2.978
Kim Fortey	2.700	-0.023	2.678
David Hornbuckle	3.091	-0.023	3.068

GAME #6
David Hornbuckle		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Liz Coombes		Helen Carey

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.023		3.080
win probability 37% 63% of 0.100 = 0.063 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.063	+0.008	+0.071
Losers	-0.063	+0.003	-0.060

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.068	+0.071	3.139
Pippa Adams	2.978	+0.071	3.049
Liz Coombes	3.169	-0.060	3.110
Helen Carey	2.991	-0.060	2.932

GAME #7
David Hornbuckle		Helen Morgan
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Paul Jones		Helen Carey

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.110		3.065
win probability 60% 40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.040	+0.006	+0.046
Losers	-0.040	+0.005	-0.035

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.139	+0.046	3.185
Helen Morgan	3.081	+0.046	3.127
Paul Jones	3.199	-0.035	3.164
Helen Carey	2.932	-0.035	2.896

GAME #8
David Hornbuckle		Helen Carey
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Alan Hart		Angela Rogers

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.041		3.071
win probability 43% 57% of 0.100 = 0.057 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.057	+0.005	+0.062
Losers	-0.057	+0.006	-0.051

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.185	+0.062	3.247
Helen Carey	2.896	+0.062	2.958
Alan Hart	2.968	-0.051	2.917
Angela Rogers	3.175	-0.051	3.124

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