Dragon Ladder League

March 2025

Game Results For

Alan Hart

GAME #1
Liz Coombes		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Helen Morgan		Alan Hart

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.102		2.993
win probability 73% 27% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.027	+0.005	+0.032
Losers	-0.027	+0.006	-0.021

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Liz Coombes	3.148	+0.032	3.180
David Hornbuckle	3.055	+0.032	3.088
Helen Morgan	3.050	-0.021	3.028
Alan Hart	2.937	-0.021	2.915

GAME #2
Helen Carey		Alan Hart
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Helen Morgan		Kim Fortey

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
2.977		2.909
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.002	+0.037
Losers	-0.035	+0.009	-0.026

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Carey	3.038	+0.037	3.076
Alan Hart	2.915	+0.037	2.953
Helen Morgan	3.028	-0.026	3.002
Kim Fortey	2.790	-0.026	2.764

GAME #3
Helen Morgan		Angela Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Pippa Adams		Alan Hart

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.006		2.994
win probability 53% 47% of 0.100 = 0.047 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.047	+0.003	+0.050
Losers	-0.047	+0.008	-0.039

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Helen Morgan	3.002	+0.050	3.052
Angela Rogers	3.010	+0.050	3.061
Pippa Adams	3.036	-0.039	2.997
Alan Hart	2.953	-0.039	2.913

GAME #4
Alan Hart		Paul Jones
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Pippa Adams		Helen Carey

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.005		3.032
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.913	+0.063	2.976
Paul Jones	3.096	+0.063	3.159
Pippa Adams	2.997	-0.052	2.945
Helen Carey	3.067	-0.052	3.015

GAME #5
Alan Hart		David Hornbuckle
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Kim Fortey		Paul Jones

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.014		2.943
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.004	+0.039
Losers	-0.035	+0.007	-0.028

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Hart	2.976	+0.039	3.015
David Hornbuckle	3.052	+0.039	3.091
Kim Fortey	2.728	-0.028	2.700
Paul Jones	3.159	-0.028	3.131

GAME #6
Angela Rogers		Paul Jones
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Alan Hart		Liz Coombes

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.132		3.111
win probability 55% 45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.045	+0.004	+0.049
Losers	-0.045	+0.007	-0.038

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Angela Rogers	3.133	+0.049	3.182
Paul Jones	3.131	+0.049	3.181
Alan Hart	3.015	-0.038	2.977
Liz Coombes	3.208	-0.038	3.169

GAME #7
Liz Coombes		Pippa Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Kim Fortey		Alan Hart

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.079		2.824
win probability 91% as this is over 75% 0.015 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.005	+0.020
Losers	-0.015	+0.006	-0.009

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Liz Coombes	3.110	+0.020	3.130
Pippa Adams	3.049	+0.020	3.069
Kim Fortey	2.671	-0.009	2.662
Alan Hart	2.977	-0.009	2.968

GAME #8
David Hornbuckle		Helen Carey
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Alan Hart		Angela Rogers

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.041		3.071
win probability 43% 57% of 0.100 = 0.057 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.057	+0.005	+0.062
Losers	-0.057	+0.006	-0.051

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
David Hornbuckle	3.185	+0.062	3.247
Helen Carey	2.896	+0.062	2.958
Alan Hart	2.968	-0.051	2.917
Angela Rogers	3.175	-0.051	3.124

Go To March 2025 Table