Dragon Ladder League

February 2022

Game Results For

Steve Lilygreen

GAME #1
Andrew Unwin		Steve Lilygreen
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Pam Simpson		Pete Williams

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.518		3.349
win probability 82% 18% of 0.100 = 0.018 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.018	+0.007	+0.025
Losers	-0.018	+0.010	-0.008

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Unwin	3.472	+0.025	3.497
Steve Lilygreen	3.564	+0.025	3.589
Pam Simpson	3.318	-0.008	3.305
Pete Williams	3.379	-0.008	3.365

GAME #2
Steve Lilygreen		Nick Dunwell
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Chris Thomas		Pam Killick

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.578		3.311
win probability 92% 8% of 0.100 = 0.008 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.008	+0.004	+0.012
Losers	-0.008	+0.002	-0.006

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen	3.589	+0.012	3.601
Nick Dunwell	3.567	+0.012	3.579
Chris Thomas	3.342	-0.006	3.340
Pam Killick	3.279	-0.006	3.278

GAME #3
Kevin McCarthy		Steve Lilygreen
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Pam Simpson		Chris Thomas

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.425		3.316
win probability 73% 27% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.027	+0.004	+0.031
Losers	-0.027	+0.009	-0.018

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	3.248	+0.031	3.280
Steve Lilygreen	3.601	+0.031	3.633
Pam Simpson	3.292	-0.018	3.271
Chris Thomas	3.340	-0.018	3.320

GAME #4
Kevin McCarthy		Andrew Unwin
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Pam Killick		Steve Lilygreen

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.414		3.435
win probability 45% 55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.055	+0.008	+0.063
Losers	-0.055	+0.007	-0.048

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	3.280	+0.063	3.343
Andrew Unwin	3.547	+0.063	3.610
Pam Killick	3.238	-0.048	3.186
Steve Lilygreen	3.633	-0.048	3.581

GAME #5
Pete Williams		Steve Lilygreen
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Kevin McCarthy		Nick Dunwell

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.530		3.461
win probability 65% 35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.035	+0.007	+0.042
Losers	-0.035	+0.001	-0.034

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Pete Williams	3.480	+0.042	3.522
Steve Lilygreen	3.581	+0.042	3.623
Kevin McCarthy	3.343	-0.034	3.312
Nick Dunwell	3.580	-0.034	3.549

GAME #6
Steve Lilygreen		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Pete Williams		Pam Killick

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.579		3.331
win probability 90% 10% of 0.100 = 0.010 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.010	+0.011	+0.021
Losers	-0.010	+0.009	-0.001

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen	3.623	+0.021	3.643
Alan Nixon	3.535	+0.021	3.556
Pete Williams	3.522	-0.001	3.512
Pam Killick	3.140	-0.001	3.130

GAME #7
Andrew Unwin		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Steve Lilygreen		Chris Thomas

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.534		3.498
win probability 58% 42% of 0.100 = 0.042 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.042	+0.001	+0.043
Losers	-0.042	+0.008	-0.034

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Unwin	3.513	+0.043	3.556
Alan Nixon	3.556	+0.043	3.599
Steve Lilygreen	3.643	-0.034	3.611
Chris Thomas	3.352	-0.034	3.321

GAME #8
Nick Dunwell		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Steve Lilygreen		Pam Simpson

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.562		3.401
win probability 81% 19% of 0.100 = 0.019 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.019	+0.001	+0.020
Losers	-0.019	+0.007	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell	3.525	+0.020	3.545
Alan Nixon	3.599	+0.020	3.619
Steve Lilygreen	3.611	-0.012	3.602
Pam Simpson	3.191	-0.012	3.182

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