Dragon Ladder League

September 2023

Game Results For

Nick Hobbis

GAME #1
Rob Adams		Nick Hobbis
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Neil Vincent		Ato Stephens

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.387		4.722
win probability 5% 95% of 0.100 = 0.095 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.095	+0.004	+0.099
Losers	-0.095	+0.007	-0.088

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Adams	4.425	+0.099	4.524
Nick Hobbis	4.349	+0.099	4.448
Neil Vincent	4.689	-0.088	4.601
Ato Stephens	4.755	-0.088	4.666

GAME #2
Anthony McElvaine		Rob Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Tony Williams		Nick Hobbis

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.569		4.598
win probability 43% 57% of 0.100 = 0.057 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.057	+0.009	+0.066
Losers	-0.057	+0.002	-0.055

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Anthony McElvaine	4.614	+0.066	4.679
Rob Adams	4.524	+0.066	4.590
Tony Williams	4.748	-0.055	4.694
Nick Hobbis	4.448	-0.055	4.394

GAME #3
Neil Vincent		Anthony McElvaine
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Ato Stephens		Nick Hobbis

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.640		4.530
win probability 73% 27% of 0.100 = 0.027 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.027	+0.006	+0.033
Losers	-0.027	+0.005	-0.022

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Neil Vincent	4.601	+0.033	4.634
Anthony McElvaine	4.679	+0.033	4.712
Ato Stephens	4.666	-0.022	4.644
Nick Hobbis	4.394	-0.022	4.372

GAME #4
Tony Williams		Rob Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Neil Vincent		Nick Hobbis

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.642		4.503
win probability 78% as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.003	+0.028
Losers	-0.025	+0.008	-0.017

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Tony Williams	4.694	+0.028	4.722
Rob Adams	4.590	+0.028	4.618
Neil Vincent	4.634	-0.017	4.617
Nick Hobbis	4.372	-0.017	4.355

GAME #5
Tony Williams		Nick Hobbis
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Neil Vincent		Rob Adams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.515		4.646
win probability 24% 76% of 0.100 = 0.076 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.076	+0.007	+0.083
Losers	-0.076	+0.004	-0.072

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Tony Williams	4.676	+0.083	4.759
Nick Hobbis	4.355	+0.083	4.438
Neil Vincent	4.617	-0.072	4.545
Rob Adams	4.675	-0.072	4.602

GAME #6
Ato Stephens		Rob Adams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Anthony McElvaine		Nick Hobbis

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.645		4.564
win probability 67% 33% of 0.100 = 0.033 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.033	+0.003	+0.036
Losers	-0.033	+0.008	-0.025

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ato Stephens	4.688	+0.036	4.724
Rob Adams	4.602	+0.036	4.638
Anthony McElvaine	4.690	-0.025	4.666
Nick Hobbis	4.438	-0.025	4.414

GAME #7
Neil Vincent		Nick Hobbis
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Tony Williams		Ato Stephens

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.524		4.702
win probability 17% 83% of 0.100 = 0.083 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.083	+0.007	+0.090
Losers	-0.083	+0.004	-0.079

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Neil Vincent	4.635	+0.090	4.725
Nick Hobbis	4.414	+0.090	4.504
Tony Williams	4.680	-0.079	4.601
Ato Stephens	4.724	-0.079	4.645

GAME #8
Rob Adams		Nick Hobbis
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Ato Stephens		Anthony McElvaine

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.606		4.626
win probability 46% 54% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.054	+0.006	+0.060
Losers	-0.054	+0.005	-0.049

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Adams	4.708	+0.060	4.769
Nick Hobbis	4.504	+0.060	4.564
Ato Stephens	4.645	-0.049	4.595
Anthony McElvaine	4.606	-0.049	4.557

GAME #9
Anthony McElvaine		Nick Hobbis
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Neil Vincent		Rob Adams

----- GAME #9 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.561		4.723
win probability 19% 81% of 0.100 = 0.081 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.081	+0.001	+0.082
Losers	-0.081	+0.010	-0.071

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Anthony McElvaine	4.557	+0.082	4.639
Nick Hobbis	4.564	+0.082	4.646
Neil Vincent	4.623	-0.071	4.551
Rob Adams	4.823	-0.071	4.752

GAME #10
Tony Williams		Anthony McElvaine
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Ato Stephens		Nick Hobbis

----- GAME #10 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.634		4.648
win probability 47% 53% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.053	+0.001	+0.054
Losers	-0.053	+0.010	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Tony Williams	4.628	+0.054	4.683
Anthony McElvaine	4.639	+0.054	4.693
Ato Stephens	4.649	-0.043	4.606
Nick Hobbis	4.646	-0.043	4.603

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