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October 2023
Game Results For
Nick Dunwell
GAME #1
John Killick Martin Scott
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Nick Dunwell Richard Welsford
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.678 3.700
win probability
45%
55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.055 +0.007 +0.062
Losers -0.055 +0.004 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Killick 3.685 +0.062 3.747
Martin Scott 3.670 +0.062 3.732
Nick Dunwell 3.726 -0.051 3.675
Richard Welsford 3.673 -0.051 3.622
GAME #2
Nick Dunwell John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Craig Williams Martin Scott
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.690 3.799
win probability
27%
73% of 0.100 = 0.073 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.073 +0.002 +0.075
Losers -0.073 +0.009 -0.064
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.675 +0.075 3.750
John Killick 3.705 +0.075 3.779
Craig Williams 3.813 -0.064 3.749
Martin Scott 3.785 -0.064 3.721
GAME #3
Bob Lycett Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Derek Adams Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.764 3.744
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.007 +0.052
Losers -0.045 +0.004 -0.041
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Bob Lycett 3.931 +0.052 3.984
Richard Welsford 3.597 +0.052 3.649
Derek Adams 3.737 -0.041 3.696
Nick Dunwell 3.750 -0.041 3.708
GAME #4
Steve Lilygreen Craig Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
0
Andrew Long Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.771 3.744
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.011 +0.055
Losers -0.044 +0.000 -0.044
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.822 +0.055 3.877
Craig Williams 3.719 +0.055 3.774
Andrew Long 3.779 -0.044 3.735
Nick Dunwell 3.708 -0.044 3.664
GAME #5
Patrick Pepe John Killick
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Steve Lilygreen Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.902 3.771
win probability
76%
as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.006 +0.031
Losers -0.025 +0.005 -0.020
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 4.075 +0.031 4.106
John Killick 3.728 +0.031 3.759
Steve Lilygreen 3.877 -0.020 3.857
Nick Dunwell 3.664 -0.020 3.644
GAME #6
Steve Lilygreen Martin Scott
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Bob Lycett Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.831 3.803
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.007 +0.051
Losers -0.044 +0.004 -0.040
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.886 +0.051 3.937
Martin Scott 3.775 +0.051 3.826
Bob Lycett 3.962 -0.040 3.922
Nick Dunwell 3.644 -0.040 3.605
GAME #7
Craig Williams Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Nick Dunwell Martin Scott
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.743 3.715
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.003 +0.047
Losers -0.044 +0.008 -0.036
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.846 +0.047 3.892
Richard Welsford 3.641 +0.047 3.688
Nick Dunwell 3.605 -0.036 3.569
Martin Scott 3.826 -0.036 3.790
GAME #8
Craig Williams Nick Dunwell
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
John Killick Richard Welsford
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.731 3.739
win probability
48%
52% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.008 +0.060
Losers -0.052 +0.003 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.892 +0.060 3.952
Nick Dunwell 3.569 +0.060 3.629
John Killick 3.790 -0.049 3.741
Richard Welsford 3.688 -0.049 3.639
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