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October 2023
Game Results For
John Killick
GAME #1
John Killick Martin Scott
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Nick Dunwell Richard Welsford
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.678 3.700
win probability
45%
55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.055 +0.007 +0.062
Losers -0.055 +0.004 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Killick 3.685 +0.062 3.747
Martin Scott 3.670 +0.062 3.732
Nick Dunwell 3.726 -0.051 3.675
Richard Welsford 3.673 -0.051 3.622
GAME #2
Bob Lycett Martin Scott
11
--------------- vs ---------------
0
Andrew Long John Killick
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.834 3.799
win probability
58%
42% of 0.100 = 0.042 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.042 +0.011 +0.053
Losers -0.042 +0.000 -0.042
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Bob Lycett 3.936 +0.053 3.989
Martin Scott 3.732 +0.053 3.785
Andrew Long 3.852 -0.042 3.810
John Killick 3.747 -0.042 3.705
GAME #3
Nick Dunwell John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Craig Williams Martin Scott
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.690 3.799
win probability
27%
73% of 0.100 = 0.073 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.073 +0.002 +0.075
Losers -0.073 +0.009 -0.064
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.675 +0.075 3.750
John Killick 3.705 +0.075 3.779
Craig Williams 3.813 -0.064 3.749
Martin Scott 3.785 -0.064 3.721
GAME #4
Patrick Pepe Richard Welsford
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Bob Lycett John Killick
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.831 3.882
win probability
39%
61% of 0.100 = 0.061 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.061 +0.001 +0.062
Losers -0.061 +0.010 -0.051
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 4.013 +0.062 4.075
Richard Welsford 3.649 +0.062 3.711
Bob Lycett 3.984 -0.051 3.933
John Killick 3.779 -0.051 3.728
GAME #5
Patrick Pepe John Killick
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Steve Lilygreen Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.902 3.771
win probability
76%
as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.006 +0.031
Losers -0.025 +0.005 -0.020
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 4.075 +0.031 4.106
John Killick 3.728 +0.031 3.759
Steve Lilygreen 3.877 -0.020 3.857
Nick Dunwell 3.664 -0.020 3.644
GAME #6
Craig Williams John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Richard Welsford Martin Scott
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.767 3.743
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.001 +0.046
Losers -0.045 +0.010 -0.035
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.774 +0.046 3.820
John Killick 3.759 +0.046 3.805
Richard Welsford 3.675 -0.035 3.641
Martin Scott 3.810 -0.035 3.775
GAME #7
Patrick Pepe Craig Williams
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Derek Adams John Killick
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.963 3.723
win probability
90%
as this is over 75% 0.025 4DR points awarded/deducted
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.001 +0.026
Losers -0.025 +0.010 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 4.106 +0.026 4.132
Craig Williams 3.820 +0.026 3.846
Derek Adams 3.642 -0.015 3.627
John Killick 3.805 -0.015 3.790
GAME #8
Craig Williams Nick Dunwell
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
John Killick Richard Welsford
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.731 3.739
win probability
48%
52% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.008 +0.060
Losers -0.052 +0.003 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.892 +0.060 3.952
Nick Dunwell 3.569 +0.060 3.629
John Killick 3.790 -0.049 3.741
Richard Welsford 3.688 -0.049 3.639
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