Dragon Ladder League

February 2022

Game Results For

Alan Nixon

GAME #1
Nick Dunwell		Andrew Unwin
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Alan Nixon		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.486		3.390
win probability 70% 30% of 0.100 = 0.030 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.030	+0.004	+0.034
Losers	-0.030	+0.006	-0.024

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell	3.533	+0.034	3.567
Andrew Unwin	3.438	+0.034	3.472
Alan Nixon	3.436	-0.024	3.413
Kevin McCarthy	3.343	-0.024	3.320

GAME #2
Alan Nixon		Pam Killick
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Chris Thomas		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.311		3.360
win probability 39% 61% of 0.100 = 0.061 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.061	+0.009	+0.070
Losers	-0.061	+0.008	-0.053

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Nixon	3.413	+0.070	3.483
Pam Killick	3.209	+0.070	3.279
Chris Thomas	3.401	-0.053	3.342
Kevin McCarthy	3.320	-0.053	3.261

GAME #3
Alan Nixon		Pete Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Pam Simpson		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.424		3.283
win probability 78% 22% of 0.100 = 0.022 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.022	+0.002	+0.024
Losers	-0.022	+0.005	-0.017

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Nixon	3.483	+0.024	3.507
Pete Williams	3.365	+0.024	3.389
Pam Simpson	3.305	-0.017	3.292
Kevin McCarthy	3.261	-0.017	3.248

GAME #4
Pete Williams		Nick Dunwell
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Chris Thomas		Alan Nixon

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.489		3.414
win probability 66% 34% of 0.100 = 0.034 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.034	+0.007	+0.041
Losers	-0.034	+0.010	-0.024

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Pete Williams	3.439	+0.041	3.480
Nick Dunwell	3.539	+0.041	3.580
Chris Thomas	3.320	-0.024	3.290
Alan Nixon	3.507	-0.024	3.478

GAME #5
Alan Nixon		Pam Simpson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Pam Killick		Andrew Unwin

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.374		3.398
win probability 45% 55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.055	+0.002	+0.057
Losers	-0.055	+0.010	-0.045

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Alan Nixon	3.478	+0.057	3.535
Pam Simpson	3.271	+0.057	3.329
Pam Killick	3.186	-0.045	3.140
Andrew Unwin	3.610	-0.045	3.564

GAME #6
Steve Lilygreen		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Pete Williams		Pam Killick

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.579		3.331
win probability 90% 10% of 0.100 = 0.010 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.010	+0.011	+0.021
Losers	-0.010	+0.009	-0.001

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen	3.623	+0.021	3.643
Alan Nixon	3.535	+0.021	3.556
Pete Williams	3.522	-0.001	3.512
Pam Killick	3.140	-0.001	3.130

GAME #7
Andrew Unwin		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Steve Lilygreen		Chris Thomas

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.534		3.498
win probability 58% 42% of 0.100 = 0.042 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.042	+0.001	+0.043
Losers	-0.042	+0.008	-0.034

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Unwin	3.513	+0.043	3.556
Alan Nixon	3.556	+0.043	3.599
Steve Lilygreen	3.643	-0.034	3.611
Chris Thomas	3.352	-0.034	3.321

GAME #8
Nick Dunwell		Alan Nixon
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Steve Lilygreen		Pam Simpson

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.562		3.401
win probability 81% 19% of 0.100 = 0.019 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.019	+0.001	+0.020
Losers	-0.019	+0.007	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell	3.525	+0.020	3.545
Alan Nixon	3.599	+0.020	3.619
Steve Lilygreen	3.611	-0.012	3.602
Pam Simpson	3.191	-0.012	3.182

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