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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2023
Game Results For
Craig Williams
GAME #1
Derek Adams Craig Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Steve Lilygreen Richard Welsford
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.768 3.700
win probability
65%
35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.035 +0.001 +0.036
Losers -0.035 +0.010 -0.025
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Derek Adams 3.759 +0.036 3.795
Craig Williams 3.777 +0.036 3.813
Steve Lilygreen 3.778 -0.025 3.753
Richard Welsford 3.622 -0.025 3.597
GAME #2
Nick Dunwell John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Craig Williams Martin Scott
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.690 3.799
win probability
27%
73% of 0.100 = 0.073 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.073 +0.002 +0.075
Losers -0.073 +0.009 -0.064
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.675 +0.075 3.750
John Killick 3.705 +0.075 3.779
Craig Williams 3.813 -0.064 3.749
Martin Scott 3.785 -0.064 3.721
GAME #3
Patrick Pepe Martin Scott
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Andrew Long Craig Williams
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.847 3.779
win probability
65%
35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.035 +0.006 +0.041
Losers -0.035 +0.005 -0.030
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 3.972 +0.041 4.013
Martin Scott 3.721 +0.041 3.763
Andrew Long 3.810 -0.030 3.779
Craig Williams 3.749 -0.030 3.719
GAME #4
Steve Lilygreen Craig Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
0
Andrew Long Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.771 3.744
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.011 +0.055
Losers -0.044 +0.000 -0.044
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.822 +0.055 3.877
Craig Williams 3.719 +0.055 3.774
Andrew Long 3.779 -0.044 3.735
Nick Dunwell 3.708 -0.044 3.664
GAME #5
Craig Williams John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Richard Welsford Martin Scott
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.767 3.743
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.001 +0.046
Losers -0.045 +0.010 -0.035
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.774 +0.046 3.820
John Killick 3.759 +0.046 3.805
Richard Welsford 3.675 -0.035 3.641
Martin Scott 3.810 -0.035 3.775
GAME #6
Patrick Pepe Craig Williams
PatrickPepe 11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Derek Adams John Killick
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.963 3.723
win probability
90%
10% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.025 +0.001 +0.026
Losers -0.025 +0.010 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Patrick Pepe 4.106 +0.026 4.132
Craig Williams 3.820 +0.026 3.846
Derek Adams 3.642 -0.015 3.627
John Killick 3.805 -0.015 3.790
GAME #7
Craig Williams Richard Welsford
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Nick Dunwell Martin Scott
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.743 3.715
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.003 +0.047
Losers -0.044 +0.008 -0.036
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.846 +0.047 3.892
Richard Welsford 3.641 +0.047 3.688
Nick Dunwell 3.605 -0.036 3.569
Martin Scott 3.826 -0.036 3.790
GAME #8
Craig Williams Nick Dunwell
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
John Killick Richard Welsford
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.731 3.739
win probability
48%
52% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.008 +0.060
Losers -0.052 +0.003 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Craig Williams 3.892 +0.060 3.952
Nick Dunwell 3.569 +0.060 3.629
John Killick 3.790 -0.049 3.741
Richard Welsford 3.688 -0.049 3.639
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