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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2022
Game Results For
Pete Williams
GAME #1
Chris Thomas Mike Rapley
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Pete Williams Ian Rochard
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.493 3.466
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.008 +0.052
Losers -0.044 +0.003 -0.041
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.520 +0.052 3.572
Mike Rapley 3.466 +0.052 3.518
Pete Williams 3.466 -0.041 3.425
Ian Rochard 3.466 -0.041 3.425
GAME #2
Alison Shenton Mike Rapley
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Pete Williams Beverley Rochard
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.515 3.431
win probability
68%
32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.032 +0.002 +0.034
Losers -0.032 +0.009 -0.023
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Shenton 3.512 +0.034 3.546
Mike Rapley 3.518 +0.034 3.552
Pete Williams 3.425 -0.023 3.402
Beverley Rochard 3.438 -0.023 3.415
GAME #3
Nick Dunwell Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Pete Williams Mike Rapley
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.677 3.477
win probability
86%
14% of 0.100 = 0.014 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.014 +0.003 +0.017
Losers -0.014 +0.008 -0.006
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.686 +0.017 3.703
Steve Lilygreen 3.668 +0.017 3.686
Pete Williams 3.402 -0.006 3.396
Mike Rapley 3.552 -0.006 3.546
GAME #4
Chris Thomas Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Beverley Rochard Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.451 3.535
win probability
32%
68% of 0.100 = 0.068 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.068 +0.006 +0.074
Losers -0.068 +0.005 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.507 +0.074 3.581
Pete Williams 3.396 +0.074 3.470
Beverley Rochard 3.368 -0.063 3.305
Nick Dunwell 3.703 -0.063 3.640
GAME #5
Ian Rochard Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Pete Williams Alison Shenton
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.580 3.537
win probability
60%
40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.040 +0.005 +0.045
Losers -0.040 +0.006 -0.034
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Ian Rochard 3.434 +0.045 3.479
Steve Lilygreen 3.727 +0.045 3.772
Pete Williams 3.470 -0.034 3.436
Alison Shenton 3.604 -0.034 3.569
GAME #6
Steve Lilygreen Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Robert Greenland Chris Thomas
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.626 3.638
win probability
47%
53% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.053 +0.007 +0.060
Losers -0.053 +0.004 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.816 +0.060 3.875
Pete Williams 3.436 +0.060 3.495
Robert Greenland 3.729 -0.049 3.681
Chris Thomas 3.546 -0.049 3.497
GAME #7
Nick Dunwell Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
7
Robert Greenland Alison Shenton
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.539 3.632
win probability
30%
70% of 0.100 = 0.070 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.070 +0.004 +0.074
Losers -0.070 +0.007 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.583 +0.074 3.657
Pete Williams 3.495 +0.074 3.569
Robert Greenland 3.681 -0.063 3.618
Alison Shenton 3.583 -0.063 3.520
GAME #8
Robert Greenland Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Beverley Rochard Ian Rochard
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.593 3.417
win probability
83%
17% of 0.100 = 0.017 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.017 +0.007 +0.024
Losers -0.017 +0.004 -0.013
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Robert Greenland 3.618 +0.024 3.642
Pete Williams 3.569 +0.024 3.593
Beverley Rochard 3.424 -0.013 3.411
Ian Rochard 3.410 -0.013 3.397
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