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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2022
Game Results For
Nick Dunwell
GAME #1
Robert Greenland Nick Dunwell
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Chris Thomas Ian Rochard
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.629 3.499
win probability
76%
24% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.024 +0.006 +0.030
Losers -0.024 +0.005 -0.019
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Robert Greenland 3.601 +0.030 3.631
Nick Dunwell 3.656 +0.030 3.686
Chris Thomas 3.572 -0.019 3.553
Ian Rochard 3.425 -0.019 3.406
GAME #2
Nick Dunwell Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Pete Williams Mike Rapley
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.677 3.477
win probability
86%
14% of 0.100 = 0.014 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.014 +0.003 +0.017
Losers -0.014 +0.008 -0.006
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.686 +0.017 3.703
Steve Lilygreen 3.668 +0.017 3.686
Pete Williams 3.402 -0.006 3.396
Mike Rapley 3.552 -0.006 3.546
GAME #3
Chris Thomas Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Beverley Rochard Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.451 3.535
win probability
32%
68% of 0.100 = 0.068 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.068 +0.006 +0.074
Losers -0.068 +0.005 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.507 +0.074 3.581
Pete Williams 3.396 +0.074 3.470
Beverley Rochard 3.368 -0.063 3.305
Nick Dunwell 3.703 -0.063 3.640
GAME #4
Beverley Rochard Robert Greenland
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Mike Rapley Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.453 3.613
win probability
19%
81% of 0.100 = 0.081 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.081 +0.002 +0.083
Losers -0.081 +0.009 -0.072
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Beverley Rochard 3.305 +0.083 3.388
Robert Greenland 3.601 +0.083 3.684
Mike Rapley 3.587 -0.072 3.515
Nick Dunwell 3.640 -0.072 3.568
GAME #5
Beverley Rochard Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Ian Rochard Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.580 3.524
win probability
62%
38% of 0.100 = 0.038 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.038 +0.006 +0.044
Losers -0.038 +0.005 -0.033
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Beverley Rochard 3.388 +0.044 3.431
Steve Lilygreen 3.772 +0.044 3.816
Ian Rochard 3.479 -0.033 3.447
Nick Dunwell 3.568 -0.033 3.535
GAME #6
Nick Dunwell Alison Shenton
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Ian Rochard Mike Rapley
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.535 3.504
win probability
57%
43% of 0.100 = 0.043 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.043 +0.005 +0.048
Losers -0.043 +0.006 -0.037
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.535 +0.048 3.583
Alison Shenton 3.535 +0.048 3.583
Ian Rochard 3.447 -0.037 3.410
Mike Rapley 3.561 -0.037 3.524
GAME #7
Nick Dunwell Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
7
Robert Greenland Alison Shenton
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.539 3.632
win probability
30%
70% of 0.100 = 0.070 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.070 +0.004 +0.074
Losers -0.070 +0.007 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.583 +0.074 3.657
Pete Williams 3.495 +0.074 3.569
Robert Greenland 3.681 -0.063 3.618
Alison Shenton 3.583 -0.063 3.520
GAME #8
Nick Dunwell Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Steve Lilygreen Alison Shenton
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.586 3.707
win probability
25%
75% of 0.100 = 0.075 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.075 +0.002 +0.077
Losers -0.075 +0.009 -0.066
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.657 +0.077 3.734
Chris Thomas 3.516 +0.077 3.592
Steve Lilygreen 3.894 -0.066 3.828
Alison Shenton 3.520 -0.066 3.454
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