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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2022
Game Results For
Mike Rapley
GAME #1
Chris Thomas Mike Rapley
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Pete Williams Ian Rochard
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.493 3.466
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.008 +0.052
Losers -0.044 +0.003 -0.041
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.520 +0.052 3.572
Mike Rapley 3.466 +0.052 3.518
Pete Williams 3.466 -0.041 3.425
Ian Rochard 3.466 -0.041 3.425
GAME #2
Alison Shenton Mike Rapley
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Pete Williams Beverley Rochard
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.515 3.431
win probability
68%
32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.032 +0.002 +0.034
Losers -0.032 +0.009 -0.023
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Shenton 3.512 +0.034 3.546
Mike Rapley 3.518 +0.034 3.552
Pete Williams 3.425 -0.023 3.402
Beverley Rochard 3.438 -0.023 3.415
GAME #3
Nick Dunwell Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Pete Williams Mike Rapley
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.677 3.477
win probability
86%
14% of 0.100 = 0.014 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.014 +0.003 +0.017
Losers -0.014 +0.008 -0.006
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.686 +0.017 3.703
Steve Lilygreen 3.668 +0.017 3.686
Pete Williams 3.402 -0.006 3.396
Mike Rapley 3.552 -0.006 3.546
GAME #4
Mike Rapley Steve Lilygreen
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Ian Rochard Robert Greenland
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.616 3.548
win probability
65%
35% of 0.100 = 0.035 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.035 +0.006 +0.041
Losers -0.035 +0.005 -0.030
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Mike Rapley 3.546 +0.041 3.587
Steve Lilygreen 3.686 +0.041 3.727
Ian Rochard 3.464 -0.030 3.434
Robert Greenland 3.631 -0.030 3.601
GAME #5
Beverley Rochard Robert Greenland
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Mike Rapley Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.453 3.613
win probability
19%
81% of 0.100 = 0.081 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.081 +0.002 +0.083
Losers -0.081 +0.009 -0.072
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Beverley Rochard 3.305 +0.083 3.388
Robert Greenland 3.601 +0.083 3.684
Mike Rapley 3.587 -0.072 3.515
Nick Dunwell 3.640 -0.072 3.568
GAME #6
Mike Rapley Robert Greenland
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Alison Shenton Chris Thomas
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.599 3.575
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.001 +0.046
Losers -0.045 +0.010 -0.035
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Mike Rapley 3.515 +0.046 3.561
Robert Greenland 3.684 +0.046 3.729
Alison Shenton 3.569 -0.035 3.535
Chris Thomas 3.581 -0.035 3.546
GAME #7
Nick Dunwell Alison Shenton
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Ian Rochard Mike Rapley
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.535 3.504
win probability
57%
43% of 0.100 = 0.043 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.043 +0.005 +0.048
Losers -0.043 +0.006 -0.037
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.535 +0.048 3.583
Alison Shenton 3.535 +0.048 3.583
Ian Rochard 3.447 -0.037 3.410
Mike Rapley 3.561 -0.037 3.524
GAME #8
Steve Lilygreen Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Mike Rapley Beverley Rochard
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.686 3.477
win probability
87%
13% of 0.100 = 0.013 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.013 +0.005 +0.018
Losers -0.013 +0.006 -0.007
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.875 +0.018 3.894
Chris Thomas 3.497 +0.018 3.516
Mike Rapley 3.524 -0.007 3.516
Beverley Rochard 3.431 -0.007 3.424
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