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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2022
Game Results For
Holly Layson
GAME #1
Marie Snelgrove Holly Layson
11
--------------- vs ---------------
8
Pam Simpson Nichola Haining
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.297 3.293
win probability
51%
49% of 0.100 = 0.049 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.049 +0.003 +0.052
Losers -0.049 +0.008 -0.041
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Marie Snelgrove 3.344 +0.052 3.396
Holly Layson 3.250 +0.052 3.302
Pam Simpson 3.298 -0.041 3.257
Nichola Haining 3.287 -0.041 3.246
GAME #2
Richard Welsford Marie Snelgrove
11
--------------- vs ---------------
2
Nichola Haining Holly Layson
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.406 3.274
win probability
77%
23% of 0.100 = 0.023 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.023 +0.009 +0.032
Losers -0.023 +0.002 -0.021
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Richard Welsford 3.417 +0.032 3.449
Marie Snelgrove 3.396 +0.032 3.428
Nichola Haining 3.246 -0.021 3.225
Holly Layson 3.302 -0.021 3.281
GAME #3
Pam Simpson Holly Layson
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Derek Adams Nichola Haining
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.266 3.262
win probability
51%
49% of 0.100 = 0.049 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.049 +0.007 +0.056
Losers -0.049 +0.004 -0.045
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Pam Simpson 3.252 +0.056 3.308
Holly Layson 3.281 +0.056 3.337
Derek Adams 3.300 -0.045 3.255
Nichola Haining 3.225 -0.045 3.180
GAME #4
Andy Elliot Pam Simpson
AndyElliot 11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Richard Welsford Holly Layson
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.437 3.420
win probability
54%
46% of 0.100 = 0.046 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.046 +0.005 +0.051
Losers -0.046 +0.006 -0.040
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Andy Elliot 3.566 +0.051 3.617
Pam Simpson 3.308 +0.051 3.359
Richard Welsford 3.503 -0.040 3.463
Holly Layson 3.337 -0.040 3.297
GAME #5
Susan Evans Nichola Haining
11
--------------- vs ---------------
AndyElliot 10
Andy Elliot Holly Layson
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.308 3.457
win probability
21%
79% of 0.100 = 0.079 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.079 +0.001 +0.080
Losers -0.079 +0.010 -0.069
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Susan Evans 3.466 +0.080 3.546
Nichola Haining 3.151 +0.080 3.232
Andy Elliot 3.617 -0.069 3.548
Holly Layson 3.297 -0.069 3.227
GAME #6
Susan Evans Holly Layson
11
--------------- vs ---------------
7
Richard Welsford Derek Adams
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.387 3.384
win probability
51%
49% of 0.100 = 0.049 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.049 +0.004 +0.053
Losers -0.049 +0.007 -0.042
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Susan Evans 3.546 +0.053 3.599
Holly Layson 3.227 +0.053 3.281
Richard Welsford 3.504 -0.042 3.462
Derek Adams 3.263 -0.042 3.221
GAME #7
Andy Elliot Marie Snelgrove
AndyElliot 11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Derek Adams Holly Layson
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.443 3.251
win probability
85%
15% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.015 +0.005 +0.020
Losers -0.015 +0.006 -0.009
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Andy Elliot 3.596 +0.020 3.616
Marie Snelgrove 3.289 +0.020 3.309
Derek Adams 3.221 -0.009 3.212
Holly Layson 3.281 -0.009 3.272
GAME #8
Susan Evans Pam Simpson
11
--------------- vs ---------------
0
Marie Snelgrove Holly Layson
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.487 3.291
win probability
85%
15% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.015 +0.011 +0.026
Losers -0.015 +0.000 -0.015
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Susan Evans 3.616 +0.026 3.642
Pam Simpson 3.358 +0.026 3.383
Marie Snelgrove 3.309 -0.015 3.295
Holly Layson 3.272 -0.015 3.257
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