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Dragon Ladder League
Oct 2022
Game Results For
Chris Thomas
GAME #1
Chris Thomas Mike Rapley
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Pete Williams Ian Rochard
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.493 3.466
win probability
56%
44% of 0.100 = 0.044 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.044 +0.008 +0.052
Losers -0.044 +0.003 -0.041
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.520 +0.052 3.572
Mike Rapley 3.466 +0.052 3.518
Pete Williams 3.466 -0.041 3.425
Ian Rochard 3.466 -0.041 3.425
GAME #2
Robert Greenland Nick Dunwell
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Chris Thomas Ian Rochard
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.629 3.499
win probability
76%
24% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.024 +0.006 +0.030
Losers -0.024 +0.005 -0.019
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Robert Greenland 3.601 +0.030 3.631
Nick Dunwell 3.656 +0.030 3.686
Chris Thomas 3.572 -0.019 3.553
Ian Rochard 3.425 -0.019 3.406
GAME #3
Alison Shenton Ian Rochard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Chris Thomas Beverley Rochard
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.476 3.484
win probability
48%
52% of 0.100 = 0.052 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.052 +0.006 +0.058
Losers -0.052 +0.005 -0.047
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Alison Shenton 3.546 +0.058 3.604
Ian Rochard 3.406 +0.058 3.464
Chris Thomas 3.553 -0.047 3.507
Beverley Rochard 3.415 -0.047 3.368
GAME #4
Chris Thomas Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Beverley Rochard Nick Dunwell
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.451 3.535
win probability
32%
68% of 0.100 = 0.068 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.068 +0.006 +0.074
Losers -0.068 +0.005 -0.063
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Chris Thomas 3.507 +0.074 3.581
Pete Williams 3.396 +0.074 3.470
Beverley Rochard 3.368 -0.063 3.305
Nick Dunwell 3.703 -0.063 3.640
GAME #5
Mike Rapley Robert Greenland
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Alison Shenton Chris Thomas
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.599 3.575
win probability
55%
45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.045 +0.001 +0.046
Losers -0.045 +0.010 -0.035
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Mike Rapley 3.515 +0.046 3.561
Robert Greenland 3.684 +0.046 3.729
Alison Shenton 3.569 -0.035 3.535
Chris Thomas 3.581 -0.035 3.546
GAME #6
Steve Lilygreen Pete Williams
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
Robert Greenland Chris Thomas
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.626 3.638
win probability
47%
53% of 0.100 = 0.053 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.053 +0.007 +0.060
Losers -0.053 +0.004 -0.049
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.816 +0.060 3.875
Pete Williams 3.436 +0.060 3.495
Robert Greenland 3.729 -0.049 3.681
Chris Thomas 3.546 -0.049 3.497
GAME #7
Steve Lilygreen Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
6
Mike Rapley Beverley Rochard
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.686 3.477
win probability
87%
13% of 0.100 = 0.013 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.013 +0.005 +0.018
Losers -0.013 +0.006 -0.007
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.875 +0.018 3.894
Chris Thomas 3.497 +0.018 3.516
Mike Rapley 3.524 -0.007 3.516
Beverley Rochard 3.431 -0.007 3.424
GAME #8
Nick Dunwell Chris Thomas
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
Steve Lilygreen Alison Shenton
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.586 3.707
win probability
25%
75% of 0.100 = 0.075 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.075 +0.002 +0.077
Losers -0.075 +0.009 -0.066
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Nick Dunwell 3.657 +0.077 3.734
Chris Thomas 3.516 +0.077 3.592
Steve Lilygreen 3.894 -0.066 3.828
Alison Shenton 3.520 -0.066 3.454
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