Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

February 2025

Game Results For

Richard Welsford

GAME #1
Susan Evans		Kris Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Richard Welsford		Nick Fox

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.071		4.078
win probability 49% 51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.051	+0.004	+0.055
Losers	-0.051	+0.007	-0.044

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Susan Evans	4.106	+0.055	4.161
Kris Rogers	4.036	+0.055	4.092
Richard Welsford	4.086	-0.044	4.042
Nick Fox	4.069	-0.044	4.025

GAME #2
Craig Williams		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Richard Welsford		Kris Rogers

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.099		4.067
win probability 57% 43% of 0.100 = 0.043 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.043	+0.005	+0.048
Losers	-0.043	+0.006	-0.037

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.174	+0.048	4.221
Nick Fox	4.025	+0.048	4.072
Richard Welsford	4.042	-0.037	4.005
Kris Rogers	4.092	-0.037	4.055

GAME #3
Bob Lycett		Kris Rogers
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Kevin McCarthy		Richard Welsford

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.108		4.023
win probability 68% 32% of 0.100 = 0.032 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.032	+0.005	+0.037
Losers	-0.032	+0.006	-0.026

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Bob Lycett	4.161	+0.037	4.198
Kris Rogers	4.055	+0.037	4.092
Kevin McCarthy	4.042	-0.026	4.016
Richard Welsford	4.005	-0.026	3.979

GAME #4
Craig Williams		Susan Evans
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Bob Lycett		Richard Welsford

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.227		4.088
win probability 78% 22% of 0.100 = 0.022 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.022	+0.009	+0.031
Losers	-0.022	+0.002	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.267	+0.031	4.298
Susan Evans	4.188	+0.031	4.219
Bob Lycett	4.198	-0.020	4.178
Richard Welsford	3.979	-0.020	3.959

GAME #5
Kevin McCarthy		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Craig Williams		Richard Welsford

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.111		4.128
win probability 46% 54% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.054	+0.007	+0.061
Losers	-0.054	+0.004	-0.050

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	3.987	+0.061	4.047
Paul Wales	4.236	+0.061	4.296
Craig Williams	4.298	-0.050	4.248
Richard Welsford	3.959	-0.050	3.909

GAME #6
Kevin McCarthy		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Susan Evans		Richard Welsford

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.105		4.027
win probability 67% 33% of 0.100 = 0.033 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.033	+0.001	+0.034
Losers	-0.033	+0.010	-0.023

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	4.047	+0.034	4.082
Nick Fox	4.163	+0.034	4.197
Susan Evans	4.145	-0.023	4.122
Richard Welsford	3.909	-0.023	3.886

GAME #7
Richard Welsford		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Bob Lycett		Paul Wales

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.041		4.206
win probability 19% 81% of 0.100 = 0.081 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.081	+0.001	+0.082
Losers	-0.081	+0.010	-0.071

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Richard Welsford	3.886	+0.082	3.968
Nick Fox	4.197	+0.082	4.280
Bob Lycett	4.167	-0.071	4.095
Paul Wales	4.244	-0.071	4.173

GAME #8
Paul Wales		Richard Welsford
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Susan Evans		Kris Rogers

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.070		4.114
win probability 40% 60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.060	+0.003	+0.063
Losers	-0.060	+0.008	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.173	+0.063	4.236
Richard Welsford	3.968	+0.063	4.031
Susan Evans	4.194	-0.052	4.143
Kris Rogers	4.034	-0.052	3.982

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