Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Paul Wales

GAME #1
Bob Lycett		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Rob Shenton		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.204		3.980
win probability 88% 12% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Bob Lycett	4.173	+0.022	4.195
Paul Wales	4.236	+0.022	4.258
Rob Shenton	3.971	-0.011	3.960
Matthew Hellard	3.988	-0.011	3.977

GAME #2
Paul Wales		Craig Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Andrew Long		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.244		3.972
win probability 92% 8% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.258	+0.022	4.280
Craig Williams	4.230	+0.022	4.252
Andrew Long	4.112	-0.011	4.101
John Shephard	3.833	-0.011	3.822

GAME #3
Ian Rochard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Rob Shenton		Andrew Long

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.065
win probability 71% 29% of 0.100 = 0.029 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.029	+0.002	+0.031
Losers	-0.029	+0.009	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.049	+0.031	4.080
Paul Wales	4.280	+0.031	4.311
Rob Shenton	4.028	-0.020	4.008
Andrew Long	4.101	-0.020	4.081

GAME #4
Ian Rochard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
John Shephard		Paul Wales

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.044
win probability 75% 25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.006	+0.031
Losers	-0.025	+0.005	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.080	+0.031	4.111
Bob Lycett	4.249	+0.031	4.280
John Shephard	3.778	-0.020	3.758
Paul Wales	4.311	-0.020	4.290

GAME #5
Matthew Hellard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Ian Rochard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.103		4.130
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.916	+0.063	3.979
Paul Wales	4.290	+0.063	4.353
Ian Rochard	4.111	-0.052	4.059
Craig Williams	4.150	-0.052	4.098

GAME #6
Paul Wales		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Matthew Hellard		John Shephard

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.236		3.848
win probability 97% 3% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.011	+0.026
Losers	-0.015	+0.000	-0.015

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.353	+0.026	4.379
Kevin McCarthy	4.118	+0.026	4.144
Matthew Hellard	3.979	-0.015	3.964
John Shephard	3.717	-0.015	3.702

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Andrew Long
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Bob Lycett		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.294		4.168
win probability 76% 24% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.024	+0.006	+0.030
Losers	-0.024	+0.005	-0.019

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.379	+0.030	4.410
Andrew Long	4.208	+0.030	4.239
Bob Lycett	4.193	-0.019	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.144	-0.019	4.124

GAME #8
Craig Williams		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	1
Paul Wales		Rob Shenton

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.152		4.224
win probability 34% 66% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.066	+0.01	+0.076
Losers	-0.066	+0.001	-0.065

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.179	+0.076	4.255
Kevin McCarthy	4.124	+0.076	4.200
Paul Wales	4.410	-0.065	4.345
Rob Shenton	4.037	-0.065	3.973

Go To March 2025 Table