Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

February 2025

Game Results For

Neil Vincent

GAME #1
Nathan Parker		Neil Vincent
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Tony Williams		Stuart Gwilym

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.776		4.834
win probability 37% 63% of 0.100 = 0.063 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.063	+0.004	+0.067
Losers	-0.063	+0.007	-0.056

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	4.957	+0.067	5.024
Neil Vincent	4.596	+0.067	4.662
Tony Williams	4.909	-0.056	4.853
Stuart Gwilym	4.760	-0.056	4.704

GAME #2
Neil Vincent		James Perez
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Andy Elliott		Leigh Ryder

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.471		4.381
win probability 69% 31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.031	+0.001	+0.032
Losers	-0.031	+0.010	-0.021

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Neil Vincent	4.662	+0.032	4.694
James Perez	4.280	+0.032	4.312
Andy Elliott	4.425	-0.021	4.404
Leigh Ryder	4.338	-0.021	4.317

GAME #3
Stuart Gwilym		Neil Vincent
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Martin Scott		James Perez

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.746		4.516
win probability 89% 11% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.006	+0.021
Losers	-0.015	+0.005	-0.010

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Stuart Gwilym	4.797	+0.021	4.818
Neil Vincent	4.694	+0.021	4.715
Martin Scott	4.721	-0.010	4.711
James Perez	4.312	-0.010	4.302

GAME #4
Nathan Parker		Andy Elliott
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Neil Vincent		Martin Scott

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.678		4.713
win probability 42% 58% of 0.100 = 0.058 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.058	+0.007	+0.065
Losers	-0.058	+0.004	-0.054

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	4.890	+0.065	4.955
Andy Elliott	4.466	+0.065	4.531
Neil Vincent	4.715	-0.054	4.661
Martin Scott	4.711	-0.054	4.657

GAME #5
Tony Williams		Stuart Gwilym
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Neil Vincent		Andy Elliott

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.831		4.596
win probability 89% 11% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.006	+0.021
Losers	-0.015	+0.005	-0.010

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Tony Williams	4.893	+0.021	4.914
Stuart Gwilym	4.770	+0.021	4.791
Neil Vincent	4.661	-0.010	4.651
Andy Elliott	4.531	-0.010	4.521

GAME #6
Nathan Parker		Neil Vincent
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Stuart Gwilym		Leigh Ryder

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.814		4.552
win probability 91% 9% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.006	+0.021
Losers	-0.015	+0.005	-0.010

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	4.977	+0.021	4.998
Neil Vincent	4.651	+0.021	4.672
Stuart Gwilym	4.791	-0.010	4.781
Leigh Ryder	4.314	-0.010	4.304

GAME #7
Neil Vincent		Leigh Ryder
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	10
Tony Williams		Martin Scott

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.488		4.802
win probability 6% 94% of 0.100 = 0.094 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.094	+0.001	+0.095
Losers	-0.094	+0.010	-0.084

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Neil Vincent	4.672	+0.095	4.768
Leigh Ryder	4.304	+0.095	4.399
Tony Williams	4.970	-0.084	4.885
Martin Scott	4.634	-0.084	4.550

GAME #8
Nathan Parker		James Perez
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Tony Williams		Neil Vincent

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.654		4.827
win probability 17% 83% of 0.100 = 0.083 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.083	+0.005	+0.088
Losers	-0.083	+0.006	-0.077

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.022	+0.088	5.110
James Perez	4.285	+0.088	4.373
Tony Williams	4.885	-0.077	4.809
Neil Vincent	4.768	-0.077	4.691

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