Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Nathan Parker

GAME #1
Nathan Parker		Neil Vincent
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Mark Johnson		Tony Williams

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.900		4.918
win probability 46% 54% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.054	+0.005	+0.059
Losers	-0.054	+0.006	-0.048

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.110	+0.059	5.169
Neil Vincent	4.691	+0.059	4.750
Mark Johnson	5.028	-0.048	4.980
Tony Williams	4.809	-0.048	4.761

GAME #2
Nathan Parker		Mark Johnson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Tony Williams		Andrew Unwin

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
5.074		4.687
win probability 97% 3% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.008	+0.023
Losers	-0.015	+0.003	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.169	+0.023	5.192
Mark Johnson	4.980	+0.023	5.003
Tony Williams	4.761	-0.012	4.749
Andrew Unwin	4.614	-0.012	4.602

GAME #3
Nathan Parker		Nick Fox
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Mark Johnson		Andy Elliott

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.733		4.774
win probability 41% 59% of 0.100 = 0.059 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.059	+0.002	+0.061
Losers	-0.059	+0.009	-0.050

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.192	+0.061	5.253
Nick Fox	4.275	+0.061	4.336
Mark Johnson	5.003	-0.050	4.953
Andy Elliott	4.545	-0.050	4.495

GAME #4
Nathan Parker		Andy Elliott
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Neil Vincent		Andrew Unwin

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.874		4.690
win probability 84% 16% of 0.100 = 0.016 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.016	+0.006	+0.022
Losers	-0.016	+0.005	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.253	+0.022	5.275
Andy Elliott	4.495	+0.022	4.517
Neil Vincent	4.788	-0.011	4.777
Andrew Unwin	4.592	-0.011	4.580

GAME #5
Nathan Parker		Andrew Unwin
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Matthew Hazlehurst		Nick Fox

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.928		4.411
win probability 99% 1% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.009	+0.024
Losers	-0.015	+0.002	-0.013

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.275	+0.024	5.299
Andrew Unwin	4.580	+0.024	4.604
Matthew Hazlehurst	4.532	-0.013	4.519
Nick Fox	4.290	-0.013	4.277

GAME #6
Nathan Parker		Neil Vincent
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Tony Williams		Nick Fox

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
5.033		4.563
win probability 99% 1% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.006	+0.021
Losers	-0.015	+0.005	-0.010

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.299	+0.021	5.320
Neil Vincent	4.766	+0.021	4.787
Tony Williams	4.849	-0.010	4.839
Nick Fox	4.277	-0.010	4.267

GAME #7
Andy Elliott		Matthew Hazlehurst
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Nathan Parker		Tony Williams

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.518		5.079
win probability 1% 99% of 0.100 = 0.099 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.099	+0.006	+0.105
Losers	-0.099	+0.005	-0.094

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andy Elliott	4.496	+0.105	4.602
Matthew Hazlehurst	4.540	+0.105	4.645
Nathan Parker	5.320	-0.094	5.225
Tony Williams	4.839	-0.094	4.744

GAME #8
Nathan Parker		Matthew Hazlehurst
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Mark Johnson		Neil Vincent

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.935		4.874
win probability 63% 37% of 0.100 = 0.037 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.037	+0.005	+0.042
Losers	-0.037	+0.006	-0.031

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Nathan Parker	5.225	+0.042	5.267
Matthew Hazlehurst	4.645	+0.042	4.687
Mark Johnson	4.971	-0.031	4.940
Neil Vincent	4.777	-0.031	4.747

Go To March 2025 Table