Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Matthew Hellard

GAME #1
Andrew Long		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Rob Shenton		John Shephard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.968		3.968
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.004	+0.054
Losers	-0.050	+0.007	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.001	+0.054	4.055
Matthew Hellard	3.934	+0.054	3.988
Rob Shenton	4.014	-0.043	3.971
John Shephard	3.921	-0.043	3.878

GAME #2
Bob Lycett		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Rob Shenton		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.204		3.980
win probability 88% 12% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Bob Lycett	4.173	+0.022	4.195
Paul Wales	4.236	+0.022	4.258
Rob Shenton	3.971	-0.011	3.960
Matthew Hellard	3.988	-0.011	3.977

GAME #3
Rob Shenton		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Kevin McCarthy		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.971		4.015
win probability 40% 60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.060	+0.008	+0.068
Losers	-0.060	+0.003	-0.057

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Shenton	3.960	+0.068	4.028
Ian Rochard	3.981	+0.068	4.049
Kevin McCarthy	4.053	-0.057	3.996
Matthew Hellard	3.977	-0.057	3.920

GAME #4
Matthew Hellard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.057		4.037
win probability 55% 45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.045	+0.009	+0.054
Losers	-0.045	+0.002	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.920	+0.054	3.975
Bob Lycett	4.195	+0.054	4.249
John Shephard	3.822	-0.043	3.778
Craig Williams	4.252	-0.043	4.208

GAME #5
Andrew Long		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Matthew Hellard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.039		4.092
win probability 38% 62% of 0.100 = 0.062 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.062	+0.008	+0.070
Losers	-0.062	+0.003	-0.059

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.081	+0.070	4.151
Kevin McCarthy	3.996	+0.070	4.066
Matthew Hellard	3.975	-0.059	3.916
Craig Williams	4.208	-0.059	4.150

GAME #6
Matthew Hellard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Ian Rochard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.103		4.130
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.916	+0.063	3.979
Paul Wales	4.290	+0.063	4.353
Ian Rochard	4.111	-0.052	4.059
Craig Williams	4.150	-0.052	4.098

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Matthew Hellard		John Shephard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.236		3.848
win probability 97% 3% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.011	+0.026
Losers	-0.015	+0.000	-0.015

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.353	+0.026	4.379
Kevin McCarthy	4.118	+0.026	4.144
Matthew Hellard	3.979	-0.015	3.964
John Shephard	3.717	-0.015	3.702

GAME #8
Ian Rochard		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Bob Lycett		Andrew Long

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.005		4.206
win probability 14% 86% of 0.100 = 0.086 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.086	+0.008	+0.094
Losers	-0.086	+0.003	-0.083

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.046	+0.094	4.140
Matthew Hellard	3.964	+0.094	4.058
Bob Lycett	4.173	-0.083	4.090
Andrew Long	4.239	-0.083	4.156

Go To March 2025 Table