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February 2025
Game Results For
Matthew Hellard
GAME #1
Steve Lilygreen John Shephard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
4
John Killick Matthew Hellard
----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.733 3.738
win probability
49%
51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.051 +0.007 +0.058
Losers -0.051 +0.004 -0.047
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.747 +0.058 3.805
John Shephard 3.719 +0.058 3.777
John Killick 3.769 -0.047 3.722
Matthew Hellard 3.706 -0.047 3.659
GAME #2
Steve Lilygreen Matthew Hellard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Sue Jones John Shephard
----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.732 3.775
win probability
40%
60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.060 +0.008 +0.068
Losers -0.060 +0.003 -0.057
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen 3.805 +0.068 3.873
Matthew Hellard 3.659 +0.068 3.727
Sue Jones 3.773 -0.057 3.717
John Shephard 3.777 -0.057 3.720
GAME #3
Ian Rochard Matthew Hellard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
1
Rob Greenland Steve Lilygreen
----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.798 3.906
win probability
27%
73% of 0.100 = 0.073 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.073 +0.01 +0.083
Losers -0.073 +0.001 -0.072
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Ian Rochard 3.869 +0.083 3.951
Matthew Hellard 3.727 +0.083 3.809
Rob Greenland 3.940 -0.072 3.868
Steve Lilygreen 3.873 -0.072 3.801
GAME #4
Rob Shenton John Shephard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
3
Rob Greenland Matthew Hellard
----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.849 3.839
win probability
52%
48% of 0.100 = 0.048 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.048 +0.008 +0.056
Losers -0.048 +0.003 -0.045
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Rob Shenton 3.908 +0.056 3.964
John Shephard 3.790 +0.056 3.846
Rob Greenland 3.868 -0.045 3.823
Matthew Hellard 3.809 -0.045 3.765
GAME #5
Ian Rochard John Killick
11
--------------- vs ---------------
9
John Shephard Matthew Hellard
----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.920 3.805
win probability
74%
26% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.026 +0.002 +0.028
Losers -0.026 +0.009 -0.017
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Ian Rochard 3.887 +0.028 3.915
John Killick 3.953 +0.028 3.981
John Shephard 3.846 -0.017 3.829
Matthew Hellard 3.765 -0.017 3.747
GAME #6
Rob Shenton Matthew Hellard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
2
Ian Rochard Sue Jones
----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.866 3.820
win probability
60%
40% of 0.100 = 0.040 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.040 +0.009 +0.049
Losers -0.040 +0.002 -0.038
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Rob Shenton 3.984 +0.049 4.033
Matthew Hellard 3.747 +0.049 3.796
Ian Rochard 3.915 -0.038 3.877
Sue Jones 3.724 -0.038 3.686
GAME #7
Sue Jones Matthew Hellard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
5
Rob Greenland John Killick
----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.741 3.918
win probability
17%
83% of 0.100 = 0.083 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.083 +0.006 +0.089
Losers -0.083 +0.005 -0.078
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
Sue Jones 3.686 +0.089 3.776
Matthew Hellard 3.796 +0.089 3.885
Rob Greenland 3.906 -0.078 3.828
John Killick 3.930 -0.078 3.852
GAME #8
John Killick Matthew Hellard
11
--------------- vs ---------------
10
Rob Shenton Steve Lilygreen
----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR Losers Avg 4DR
3.869 3.860
win probability
52%
48% of 0.100 = 0.048 4DR points
4DR Points Score Points Total Points
Winners +0.048 +0.001 +0.049
Losers -0.048 +0.010 -0.038
Name 4DR Start Points +/- 4DR Finish
John Killick 3.852 +0.049 3.901
Matthew Hellard 3.885 +0.049 3.934
Rob Shenton 4.052 -0.038 4.014
Steve Lilygreen 3.668 -0.038 3.629
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