Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Kevin McCarthy

GAME #1
Craig Williams		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Kevin McCarthy		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.178		4.023
win probability 80% 20% of 0.100 = 0.020 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.020	+0.003	+0.023
Losers	-0.020	+0.008	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.207	+0.023	4.230
Bob Lycett	4.150	+0.023	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.111	-0.012	4.099
Ian Rochard	3.936	-0.012	3.924

GAME #2
Andrew Long		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Kevin McCarthy		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.990		3.989
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.007	+0.057
Losers	-0.050	+0.004	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.055	+0.057	4.112
Ian Rochard	3.924	+0.057	3.981
Kevin McCarthy	4.099	-0.046	4.053
John Shephard	3.878	-0.046	3.833

GAME #3
Rob Shenton		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Kevin McCarthy		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.971		4.015
win probability 40% 60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.060	+0.008	+0.068
Losers	-0.060	+0.003	-0.057

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Shenton	3.960	+0.068	4.028
Ian Rochard	3.981	+0.068	4.049
Kevin McCarthy	4.053	-0.057	3.996
Matthew Hellard	3.977	-0.057	3.920

GAME #4
Andrew Long		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Matthew Hellard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.039		4.092
win probability 38% 62% of 0.100 = 0.062 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.062	+0.008	+0.070
Losers	-0.062	+0.003	-0.059

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.081	+0.070	4.151
Kevin McCarthy	3.996	+0.070	4.066
Matthew Hellard	3.975	-0.059	3.916
Craig Williams	4.208	-0.059	4.150

GAME #5
Kevin McCarthy		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
John Shephard		Bob Lycett

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.037		4.019
win probability 54% 46% of 0.100 = 0.046 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.046	+0.006	+0.052
Losers	-0.046	+0.005	-0.041

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	4.066	+0.052	4.118
Rob Shenton	4.008	+0.052	4.060
John Shephard	3.758	-0.041	3.717
Bob Lycett	4.280	-0.041	4.239

GAME #6
Paul Wales		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Matthew Hellard		John Shephard

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.236		3.848
win probability 97% 3% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.011	+0.026
Losers	-0.015	+0.000	-0.015

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.353	+0.026	4.379
Kevin McCarthy	4.118	+0.026	4.144
Matthew Hellard	3.979	-0.015	3.964
John Shephard	3.717	-0.015	3.702

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Andrew Long
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Bob Lycett		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.294		4.168
win probability 76% 24% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.024	+0.006	+0.030
Losers	-0.024	+0.005	-0.019

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.379	+0.030	4.410
Andrew Long	4.208	+0.030	4.239
Bob Lycett	4.193	-0.019	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.144	-0.019	4.124

GAME #8
Craig Williams		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	1
Paul Wales		Rob Shenton

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.152		4.224
win probability 34% 66% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.066	+0.01	+0.076
Losers	-0.066	+0.001	-0.065

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.179	+0.076	4.255
Kevin McCarthy	4.124	+0.076	4.200
Paul Wales	4.410	-0.065	4.345
Rob Shenton	4.037	-0.065	3.973

Go To March 2025 Table