Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

John Shephard

GAME #1
Andrew Long		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Rob Shenton		John Shephard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.968		3.968
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.004	+0.054
Losers	-0.050	+0.007	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.001	+0.054	4.055
Matthew Hellard	3.934	+0.054	3.988
Rob Shenton	4.014	-0.043	3.971
John Shephard	3.921	-0.043	3.878

GAME #2
Andrew Long		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Kevin McCarthy		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.990		3.989
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.007	+0.057
Losers	-0.050	+0.004	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.055	+0.057	4.112
Ian Rochard	3.924	+0.057	3.981
Kevin McCarthy	4.099	-0.046	4.053
John Shephard	3.878	-0.046	3.833

GAME #3
Paul Wales		Craig Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Andrew Long		John Shephard

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.244		3.972
win probability 92% 8% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.258	+0.022	4.280
Craig Williams	4.230	+0.022	4.252
Andrew Long	4.112	-0.011	4.101
John Shephard	3.833	-0.011	3.822

GAME #4
Matthew Hellard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.057		4.037
win probability 55% 45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.045	+0.009	+0.054
Losers	-0.045	+0.002	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.920	+0.054	3.975
Bob Lycett	4.195	+0.054	4.249
John Shephard	3.822	-0.043	3.778
Craig Williams	4.252	-0.043	4.208

GAME #5
Ian Rochard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
John Shephard		Paul Wales

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.044
win probability 75% 25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.006	+0.031
Losers	-0.025	+0.005	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.080	+0.031	4.111
Bob Lycett	4.249	+0.031	4.280
John Shephard	3.778	-0.020	3.758
Paul Wales	4.311	-0.020	4.290

GAME #6
Kevin McCarthy		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
John Shephard		Bob Lycett

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.037		4.019
win probability 54% 46% of 0.100 = 0.046 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.046	+0.006	+0.052
Losers	-0.046	+0.005	-0.041

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Kevin McCarthy	4.066	+0.052	4.118
Rob Shenton	4.008	+0.052	4.060
John Shephard	3.758	-0.041	3.717
Bob Lycett	4.280	-0.041	4.239

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	0
Matthew Hellard		John Shephard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.236		3.848
win probability 97% 3% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.011	+0.026
Losers	-0.015	+0.000	-0.015

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.353	+0.026	4.379
Kevin McCarthy	4.118	+0.026	4.144
Matthew Hellard	3.979	-0.015	3.964
John Shephard	3.717	-0.015	3.702

GAME #8
Craig Williams		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.084		3.880
win probability 86% 14% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.009	+0.024
Losers	-0.015	+0.002	-0.013

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.155	+0.024	4.179
Rob Shenton	4.013	+0.024	4.037
John Shephard	3.702	-0.013	3.689
Ian Rochard	4.059	-0.013	4.046

Go To March 2025 Table