Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

February 2025

Game Results For

John Shephard

GAME #1
Steve Lilygreen		John Shephard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
John Killick		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.733		3.738
win probability 49% 51% of 0.100 = 0.051 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.051	+0.007	+0.058
Losers	-0.051	+0.004	-0.047

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen	3.747	+0.058	3.805
John Shephard	3.719	+0.058	3.777
John Killick	3.769	-0.047	3.722
Matthew Hellard	3.706	-0.047	3.659

GAME #2
Steve Lilygreen		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Sue Jones		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.732		3.775
win probability 40% 60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.060	+0.008	+0.068
Losers	-0.060	+0.003	-0.057

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Steve Lilygreen	3.805	+0.068	3.873
Matthew Hellard	3.659	+0.068	3.727
Sue Jones	3.773	-0.057	3.717
John Shephard	3.777	-0.057	3.720

GAME #3
John Killick		John Shephard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Rob Shenton		Sue Jones

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.764		3.842
win probability 33% 67% of 0.100 = 0.067 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.067	+0.003	+0.070
Losers	-0.067	+0.008	-0.059

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
John Killick	3.807	+0.070	3.877
John Shephard	3.720	+0.070	3.790
Rob Shenton	3.967	-0.059	3.908
Sue Jones	3.717	-0.059	3.658

GAME #4
Rob Shenton		John Shephard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Rob Greenland		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.849		3.839
win probability 52% 48% of 0.100 = 0.048 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.048	+0.008	+0.056
Losers	-0.048	+0.003	-0.045

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Shenton	3.908	+0.056	3.964
John Shephard	3.790	+0.056	3.846
Rob Greenland	3.868	-0.045	3.823
Matthew Hellard	3.809	-0.045	3.765

GAME #5
Ian Rochard		John Killick
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
John Shephard		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.920		3.805
win probability 74% 26% of 0.100 = 0.026 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.026	+0.002	+0.028
Losers	-0.026	+0.009	-0.017

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	3.887	+0.028	3.915
John Killick	3.953	+0.028	3.981
John Shephard	3.846	-0.017	3.829
Matthew Hellard	3.765	-0.017	3.747

GAME #6
Rob Greenland		John Shephard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
John Killick		Steve Lilygreen

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.836		3.854
win probability 46% 54% of 0.100 = 0.054 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.054	+0.008	+0.062
Losers	-0.054	+0.003	-0.051

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Greenland	3.844	+0.062	3.906
John Shephard	3.829	+0.062	3.891
John Killick	3.981	-0.051	3.930
Steve Lilygreen	3.727	-0.051	3.676

GAME #7
Ian Rochard		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Steve Lilygreen		John Shephard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.955		3.783
win probability 82% 18% of 0.100 = 0.018 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.018	+0.002	+0.020
Losers	-0.018	+0.009	-0.009

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	3.877	+0.020	3.897
Rob Shenton	4.033	+0.020	4.052
Steve Lilygreen	3.676	-0.009	3.668
John Shephard	3.891	-0.009	3.882

GAME #8
Ian Rochard		John Shephard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Rob Greenland		Sue Jones

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.889		3.802
win probability 69% 31% of 0.100 = 0.031 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.031	+0.008	+0.039
Losers	-0.031	+0.003	-0.028

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	3.897	+0.039	3.936
John Shephard	3.882	+0.039	3.921
Rob Greenland	3.828	-0.028	3.800
Sue Jones	3.776	-0.028	3.747

Go To February 2025 Table