Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Ian Rochard

GAME #1
Craig Williams		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Kevin McCarthy		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.178		4.023
win probability 80% 20% of 0.100 = 0.020 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.020	+0.003	+0.023
Losers	-0.020	+0.008	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.207	+0.023	4.230
Bob Lycett	4.150	+0.023	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.111	-0.012	4.099
Ian Rochard	3.936	-0.012	3.924

GAME #2
Andrew Long		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Kevin McCarthy		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.990		3.989
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.007	+0.057
Losers	-0.050	+0.004	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.055	+0.057	4.112
Ian Rochard	3.924	+0.057	3.981
Kevin McCarthy	4.099	-0.046	4.053
John Shephard	3.878	-0.046	3.833

GAME #3
Rob Shenton		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Kevin McCarthy		Matthew Hellard

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.971		4.015
win probability 40% 60% of 0.100 = 0.060 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.060	+0.008	+0.068
Losers	-0.060	+0.003	-0.057

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Rob Shenton	3.960	+0.068	4.028
Ian Rochard	3.981	+0.068	4.049
Kevin McCarthy	4.053	-0.057	3.996
Matthew Hellard	3.977	-0.057	3.920

GAME #4
Ian Rochard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Rob Shenton		Andrew Long

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.065
win probability 71% 29% of 0.100 = 0.029 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.029	+0.002	+0.031
Losers	-0.029	+0.009	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.049	+0.031	4.080
Paul Wales	4.280	+0.031	4.311
Rob Shenton	4.028	-0.020	4.008
Andrew Long	4.101	-0.020	4.081

GAME #5
Ian Rochard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
John Shephard		Paul Wales

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.044
win probability 75% 25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.006	+0.031
Losers	-0.025	+0.005	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.080	+0.031	4.111
Bob Lycett	4.249	+0.031	4.280
John Shephard	3.778	-0.020	3.758
Paul Wales	4.311	-0.020	4.290

GAME #6
Matthew Hellard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Ian Rochard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.103		4.130
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.916	+0.063	3.979
Paul Wales	4.290	+0.063	4.353
Ian Rochard	4.111	-0.052	4.059
Craig Williams	4.150	-0.052	4.098

GAME #7
Craig Williams		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.084		3.880
win probability 86% 14% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.009	+0.024
Losers	-0.015	+0.002	-0.013

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.155	+0.024	4.179
Rob Shenton	4.013	+0.024	4.037
John Shephard	3.702	-0.013	3.689
Ian Rochard	4.059	-0.013	4.046

GAME #8
Ian Rochard		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Bob Lycett		Andrew Long

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.005		4.206
win probability 14% 86% of 0.100 = 0.086 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.086	+0.008	+0.094
Losers	-0.086	+0.003	-0.083

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.046	+0.094	4.140
Matthew Hellard	3.964	+0.094	4.058
Bob Lycett	4.173	-0.083	4.090
Andrew Long	4.239	-0.083	4.156

Go To March 2025 Table