Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Craig Williams

GAME #1
Craig Williams		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	8
Kevin McCarthy		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.178		4.023
win probability 80% 20% of 0.100 = 0.020 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.020	+0.003	+0.023
Losers	-0.020	+0.008	-0.012

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.207	+0.023	4.230
Bob Lycett	4.150	+0.023	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.111	-0.012	4.099
Ian Rochard	3.936	-0.012	3.924

GAME #2
Paul Wales		Craig Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Andrew Long		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.244		3.972
win probability 92% 8% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.258	+0.022	4.280
Craig Williams	4.230	+0.022	4.252
Andrew Long	4.112	-0.011	4.101
John Shephard	3.833	-0.011	3.822

GAME #3
Matthew Hellard		Bob Lycett
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.057		4.037
win probability 55% 45% of 0.100 = 0.045 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.045	+0.009	+0.054
Losers	-0.045	+0.002	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.920	+0.054	3.975
Bob Lycett	4.195	+0.054	4.249
John Shephard	3.822	-0.043	3.778
Craig Williams	4.252	-0.043	4.208

GAME #4
Andrew Long		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Matthew Hellard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.039		4.092
win probability 38% 62% of 0.100 = 0.062 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.062	+0.008	+0.070
Losers	-0.062	+0.003	-0.059

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.081	+0.070	4.151
Kevin McCarthy	3.996	+0.070	4.066
Matthew Hellard	3.975	-0.059	3.916
Craig Williams	4.208	-0.059	4.150

GAME #5
Matthew Hellard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Ian Rochard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.103		4.130
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.007	+0.063
Losers	-0.056	+0.004	-0.052

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Matthew Hellard	3.916	+0.063	3.979
Paul Wales	4.290	+0.063	4.353
Ian Rochard	4.111	-0.052	4.059
Craig Williams	4.150	-0.052	4.098

GAME #6
Craig Williams		Andrew Long
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Bob Lycett		Rob Shenton

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.124		4.150
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.002	+0.058
Losers	-0.056	+0.009	-0.047

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.098	+0.058	4.155
Andrew Long	4.151	+0.058	4.208
Bob Lycett	4.239	-0.047	4.193
Rob Shenton	4.060	-0.047	4.013

GAME #7
Craig Williams		Rob Shenton
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
John Shephard		Ian Rochard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.084		3.880
win probability 86% 14% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.009	+0.024
Losers	-0.015	+0.002	-0.013

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.155	+0.024	4.179
Rob Shenton	4.013	+0.024	4.037
John Shephard	3.702	-0.013	3.689
Ian Rochard	4.059	-0.013	4.046

GAME #8
Craig Williams		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	1
Paul Wales		Rob Shenton

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.152		4.224
win probability 34% 66% of 0.100 = 0.066 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.066	+0.01	+0.076
Losers	-0.066	+0.001	-0.065

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.179	+0.076	4.255
Kevin McCarthy	4.124	+0.076	4.200
Paul Wales	4.410	-0.065	4.345
Rob Shenton	4.037	-0.065	3.973

Go To March 2025 Table