Dragon Ladder Afternoon League

March 2025

Game Results For

Andrew Long

GAME #1
Andrew Long		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Rob Shenton		John Shephard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.968		3.968
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.004	+0.054
Losers	-0.050	+0.007	-0.043

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.001	+0.054	4.055
Matthew Hellard	3.934	+0.054	3.988
Rob Shenton	4.014	-0.043	3.971
John Shephard	3.921	-0.043	3.878

GAME #2
Andrew Long		Ian Rochard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Kevin McCarthy		John Shephard

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.990		3.989
win probability 50% 50% of 0.100 = 0.050 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.050	+0.007	+0.057
Losers	-0.050	+0.004	-0.046

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.055	+0.057	4.112
Ian Rochard	3.924	+0.057	3.981
Kevin McCarthy	4.099	-0.046	4.053
John Shephard	3.878	-0.046	3.833

GAME #3
Paul Wales		Craig Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Andrew Long		John Shephard

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.244		3.972
win probability 92% 8% of 0.100 = 0.015 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.015	+0.007	+0.022
Losers	-0.015	+0.004	-0.011

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.258	+0.022	4.280
Craig Williams	4.230	+0.022	4.252
Andrew Long	4.112	-0.011	4.101
John Shephard	3.833	-0.011	3.822

GAME #4
Ian Rochard		Paul Wales
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Rob Shenton		Andrew Long

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.164		4.065
win probability 71% 29% of 0.100 = 0.029 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.029	+0.002	+0.031
Losers	-0.029	+0.009	-0.020

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.049	+0.031	4.080
Paul Wales	4.280	+0.031	4.311
Rob Shenton	4.028	-0.020	4.008
Andrew Long	4.101	-0.020	4.081

GAME #5
Andrew Long		Kevin McCarthy
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Matthew Hellard		Craig Williams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.039		4.092
win probability 38% 62% of 0.100 = 0.062 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.062	+0.008	+0.070
Losers	-0.062	+0.003	-0.059

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Long	4.081	+0.070	4.151
Kevin McCarthy	3.996	+0.070	4.066
Matthew Hellard	3.975	-0.059	3.916
Craig Williams	4.208	-0.059	4.150

GAME #6
Craig Williams		Andrew Long
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Bob Lycett		Rob Shenton

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.124		4.150
win probability 44% 56% of 0.100 = 0.056 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.056	+0.002	+0.058
Losers	-0.056	+0.009	-0.047

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Craig Williams	4.098	+0.058	4.155
Andrew Long	4.151	+0.058	4.208
Bob Lycett	4.239	-0.047	4.193
Rob Shenton	4.060	-0.047	4.013

GAME #7
Paul Wales		Andrew Long
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Bob Lycett		Kevin McCarthy

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.294		4.168
win probability 76% 24% of 0.100 = 0.024 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.024	+0.006	+0.030
Losers	-0.024	+0.005	-0.019

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Paul Wales	4.379	+0.030	4.410
Andrew Long	4.208	+0.030	4.239
Bob Lycett	4.193	-0.019	4.173
Kevin McCarthy	4.144	-0.019	4.124

GAME #8
Ian Rochard		Matthew Hellard
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	3
Bob Lycett		Andrew Long

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.005		4.206
win probability 14% 86% of 0.100 = 0.086 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.086	+0.008	+0.094
Losers	-0.086	+0.003	-0.083

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ian Rochard	4.046	+0.094	4.140
Matthew Hellard	3.964	+0.094	4.058
Bob Lycett	4.173	-0.083	4.090
Andrew Long	4.239	-0.083	4.156

Go To March 2025 Table