Dragon Ladder League

October 2022

Game Results For

Ato Stephens

GAME #1
Andrew Howells		Ato Stephens
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Kevin McCarthy		Paul Chard

----- GAME #1 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.833		3.895
win probability 36% 64% of 0.100 = 0.064 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.064	+0.005	+0.069
Losers	-0.064	+0.006	-0.058

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Andrew Howells	3.872	+0.069	3.941
Ato Stephens	3.793	+0.069	3.862
Kevin McCarthy	3.997	-0.058	3.939
Paul Chard	3.793	-0.058	3.735

GAME #2
James Perez		Mark Johnson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Kevin McCarthy		Ato Stephens

----- GAME #2 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.243		3.901
win probability 96% 4% of 0.100 = 0.004 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.004	+0.005	+0.009
Losers	-0.004	+0.006	+0.002

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
James Perez	4.108	+0.009	4.117
Mark Johnson	4.378	+0.009	4.387
Kevin McCarthy	3.939	+0.002	3.941
Ato Stephens	3.862	+0.002	3.863

GAME #3
Tony Williams		Ato Stephens
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	7
Kevin McCarthy		Bob Lycett

----- GAME #3 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.035		3.915
win probability 75% 25% of 0.100 = 0.025 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.025	+0.004	+0.029
Losers	-0.025	+0.007	-0.018

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Tony Williams	4.207	+0.029	4.236
Ato Stephens	3.863	+0.029	3.893
Kevin McCarthy	3.941	-0.018	3.923
Bob Lycett	3.889	-0.018	3.870

GAME #4
Ato Stephens		James Perez
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	4
Paul Chard		Andy Horrell

----- GAME #4 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.005		3.985
win probability 54% 46% of 0.100 = 0.046 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.046	+0.007	+0.053
Losers	-0.046	+0.004	-0.042

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ato Stephens	3.893	+0.053	3.945
James Perez	4.117	+0.053	4.170
Paul Chard	3.790	-0.042	3.748
Andy Horrell	4.181	-0.042	4.139

GAME #5
Ato Stephens		Andy Horrell
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	6
Andrew Howells		Tony Williams

----- GAME #5 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.042		4.063
win probability 45% 55% of 0.100 = 0.055 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.055	+0.005	+0.060
Losers	-0.055	+0.006	-0.049

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ato Stephens	3.945	+0.060	4.005
Andy Horrell	4.139	+0.060	4.199
Andrew Howells	3.889	-0.049	3.841
Tony Williams	4.236	-0.049	4.188

GAME #6
Ato Stephens		Mark Johnson
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	5
Bob Lycett		Andy Horrell

----- GAME #6 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.230		4.027
win probability 86% 14% of 0.100 = 0.014 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.014	+0.006	+0.020
Losers	-0.014	+0.005	-0.009

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Ato Stephens	4.005	+0.020	4.025
Mark Johnson	4.456	+0.020	4.476
Bob Lycett	3.855	-0.009	3.846
Andy Horrell	4.199	-0.009	4.190

GAME #7
Mark Johnson		Tony Williams
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	2
Ato Stephens		Paul Chard

----- GAME #7 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
4.351		3.894
win probability 98% 2% of 0.100 = 0.002 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.002	+0.009	+0.011
Losers	-0.002	+0.002	0.000

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
Mark Johnson	4.476	+0.011	4.486
Tony Williams	4.226	+0.011	4.236
Ato Stephens	4.025	0.000	4.025
Paul Chard	3.762	0.000	3.763

GAME #8
James Perez		Andrew Howells
	11
--------------- vs ---------------
	9
Bob Lycett		Ato Stephens

----- GAME #8 STATS -----
Winners Avg 4DR		Losers Avg 4DR
3.988		3.934
win probability 62% 38% of 0.100 = 0.038 4DR points

	4DR Points	Score Points	Total Points
Winners	+0.038	+0.002	+0.040
Losers	-0.038	+0.009	-0.029

Name	4DR Start	Points +/-	4DR Finish
James Perez	4.203	+0.040	4.243
Andrew Howells	3.773	+0.040	3.813
Bob Lycett	3.843	-0.029	3.814
Ato Stephens	4.025	-0.029	3.996

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